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Stormgeek

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Everything posted by Stormgeek

  1. Stormgeek
    Oh, my bad, I thought you guys were referring to the Tuesday/Wednesday system. This is a good problem to have! So many systems that we confuse eachother!
  2. Stormgeek
    I am not seeing much of a change. What do you see? I use Pivotal Weather along with quite a few others on here.
  3. Stormgeek
    18z GFS drove the low south a good amount into Iowa. I'm liking that idea as cold air wraps in earlier. It also looks the NAM went south as well.
  4. Stormgeek
    Definitely looking to be a fun week! Once the energy comes on shore we should hopefully get a better/more consistent idea of what will happen. Looks like the 0C 850's may come close to splitting the twin cities again. However, I should be on the cold side for a change!
  5. Stormgeek
    Looks like there will be another storm to track early next week for my area. How much it snows seems it will be heavily dictated on how the temperature profiles work out. Sitting really close on either side of the freezing line on models.
  6. Stormgeek
    Are you getting snow??? Radar showing snow north of MSP. Yup, had a break around noon or so. Precipitation started back up around 130. Quite nasty out there right now. Wind whipping the snow and roads are ice rinks in the suburbs. Going to be dangerous once temps plummet tonight.
  7. Stormgeek
    Very heavy rains here just north of the Minneapolis area. No snow yet and it appears everything will clear north of us rather quickly here... 850's just too warm. Maybe next time..
  8. Stormgeek
    Beautiful day yesterday. I have been keeping my eyes on the models lately because I am sitting directly on the very tight gradient. A change 20 miles southeast and I could see half a foot of snow. Can't wait to see what this thing produces. Next model cycle should give a pretty concrete idea of where this thing parks itself. The change in temperatures expected is nothing short of extraordinary.
  9. Stormgeek
    Hoping these tight gradients missing me by 50> miles don't become a consistency again this year. Last year there were so many that it got painful to watch. Assuming the PV does intrude I don't think this will be an issue with cold air dominating everywhere.
  10. Stormgeek
    Interested to see how this comes to be. It seems models usually have a period where they show a different solution, but then revert back to the original as the time comes. Mets here also mentioned the possibility of some snow showers late Friday into Saturday.
  11. Stormgeek
    Interested to see how much actually stays with this assuming a good amount falls. Hoping to see a southeast trend so I can get my holiday spirits up, but either way someone is going to get crushed.
  12. Stormgeek
    Hoping to see my first wet flakes mixed with rain next weekend here in central Minnesota! Here's to a snowy and entertaining winter!
  13. Stormgeek
    Looking to favor MN staying cold and dry. Not liking that look a whole lot...
  14. Stormgeek
    This whole "backload" is reminding me all too much of 2012...
  15. Stormgeek
    This whole "It will come eventually." feel is all too familiar for many on here. Hopefully it does not turn into another no-show.
  16. Stormgeek
    Now that is something that strikes my fancy. Hopefully it is a sign of things to come!
  17. Stormgeek
    Another probably pretty easy question, but what does the temperature anomaly actually measure. I always look at it and think, "oh, 3 degrees, big woop". I am surely missing something in my ever-growing knowledge.
  18. Stormgeek
    Bitter fall day. Light rain, cold, and a bit of a wind. Definitely smells and feels like the onset of the winter season.
  19. Stormgeek
    Man, would you look at that moisture plume over Minnesota!
  20. Stormgeek
    Interesting, if this does in fact become the trend for storm tracks it appears it will be much like the past few years for me. That is the southern part of the state takes a beating and I get to sit in the corner and watch. Obviously this won't happen every storm; just funny how this one looks like that.
  21. Stormgeek
    Thanks! That graphic was very useful. I am no longer in the dark.
  22. Stormgeek
    Sorry for my lack of knowledge, but what does a splitting PV mean? Is it that more cold air will be able to propagate further south when it splits versus when it stays strong? As likely one of the youngest here, I am just trying to pick up what I can. Thanks for any insight.
  23. Stormgeek
    Thanks for your input Tom and Jaster. I am quite near the cities on the northern side. I was not fishing for a winter call, was just wondering how this pattern changes things as something needs to change before I go bonkers with systems dropping 10+ south of the cities and then 1-2 north of the cities where I am at. Obviously 2013-2014 would be the best as that was the coldest and snowiest winter I have endured. However, not expecting that as it was a once in a long time winter. For now I will keep lurking until the first big storm starts to bear down on the region!
  24. Stormgeek
    I think I am a bit out of place geographically for this thread as it appears many are in the Ohio Valley/Lakes region, but I am just looking for people's opinions on MN. I know my winters have been about as dismal as they come with sharp snow gradients and little to no cold or snow. Does this pattern shift help that or do we get stuck with the short end of the stick again? By the way, this is one of my favorite forums, very informative and interesting!
  25. Stormgeek
    As a person who has dealt with very sharp snow gradients over the past few years here in MN, I am stoked for what this new pattern will bring!
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