North_County

Was my car. Lol. Actually, it was toast already, and ive just been putting off getting it scrapped, so yeah. Not particularly worried about that one. I tried to move it last night, and it wouldnt start, so.....

Guys, it's really not great here right now. A couple more steps and I'll be evacuating to the second floor. Hating this.

Since Hwy 9 is almost certainly closed now, that means the only way into whatcom county from the south would be Chukanut Drive, right? And I'm not sure I'd feel real comfortable taking that route right now, either.

Return to sender.

No. Power went out around 6am. I've got the generator going for now to keep the house warm. I'll have to abandon that if the water gets too high. Or when I run out of fuel, because I have no way of getting to a gas station at this point.

My back deck doesn't normally come with a lakefront view.

Lynden is on a ridge above the river. There will be no river flooding in Lynden itself (maybe small streams and standing water). The farmland at the base of the ridge will almost certainly flood, however.

The historical data from the North Cedarville gauge is misleading. If you look at the historical crests, the earliest I can find is from 2003, which is.....telling. I believe this is the same location as what we used to call the Nugent's Corner gauge back in the 90s, and flood stage started at about 12 feet. My guess is they switched to measuring by elelvation rather than depth in the early 2000s. FWIW, it already reached the point of flooding the Sumas drainage several hours ago, and I'm expecting the water to reach Sumas proper any minute now.

Looks like Hope ended at 205mm for the day, or just over 8 inches. That's.....just incredible. Abbotsford recorded 100mm, or just under 4 inches. I'm going to asssume that's pretty much where I came in at, in the absence of my own personal station.

From what I've seen on social media, I believe it's near Agassiz, BC. And yes, it sounds horrific.

That sounds awful. I've always felt that there were areas of that town that looked like MAJOR flood risks when driving through. Especially the old town area.

Huge, if true.

Actually, I had the year wrong. It was 1948, not 1949. And it was a spring freshet flood, not a November AR. So, in this case at least, I dont think you can use it to draw any realistic comparisons.

Not surprising, but the Fraser Valley is getting pounded today too. BC Lower Mainland is cut off from the rest of Canada due to mudslides and flooded roads. 174.5mm (6.8 inches) reported in Hope. It's been a long time since significamt flooding on the lower Fraser (1949, I believe), and it was devastating. I'm not sure people would really know what to expect if it started flooding again, especially as much as that region has exploded in population since then. FWIW, floodwaters in Sumas drain north into the Fraser.

Flood siren just sounded here. So there's that. Creepy as hell at night.

This has the potential to be horrifically bad for some areas. And I'm trying to avoid hyperbole. My 15-year-old son and I just spent 3 hours in torrential rain filling probably hundreds of sand bags between the two of us. And I don't feel like I did nearly enough. The flood we had in February 2020 turned me off from weather for a good while. I might need to take a break after this too.

Mostly the community. The stream that floods town borders my backyard, but my house itself sits up pretty high. Fingers crossed. My back shed is in play, and possibly my garage. But the living space should be fine.

We're in it now. Rain is really coming down. Just in time for me to head out to start filling sandbags.

For some people.

Yeah, that's not helpful.

And there it is. The city might be jumping the gun a bit on this one, but a lot of "new-ish" residents were caught off guard by the last flood in February 2020. And the forecast has been pretty consistent for this area for a while now.

FWIW, rain just started here pretty steady. Cleaned the gutters early this morning and had the kids do a final check for anything in the back yard that looked.....bouyant.

Is it shifting south? Or just slightly increasing totals? The bullseye is still over Whatcom on both runs.

As much as I would love this system to be an omen of sorts for a good December blast, I think that's a fair argument. I mean, this is the PNW; we pretty much have an AR of some capacity almost every year, I imagine. Is there a firm differentiation between an AR and a "major" AR? Otherwise, it becomes real easy to pick at nits when finding evidence.

This. It's not so much that the totals have significantly decreased. The bullseye is just moving around.