TT-SEA

Why in the **** should anyone who appreciates very anomalous weather even bother with this forum? Just to come on here and have people say it's no big deal. A top 3 February cold wave for the past 75 years and some people say ho hum. Just mind blowing.

 

Too bad such people make this forum so un-enjoyable for me and others.

 

 

Jim... its awesome at the 850mb level.   I can very much appreciate that.   Its incredible to have two such events in ONE winter.   

 

But the end result is the same temp we enjoyed at Snoqualmie this afternoon.   Who cares if other people don't think its cold.   You have a strong appreciation for historic meaning and that is awesome.   Snow would have made this an insane event.

00Z WRF shows snow for Andrew tomorrow evening!

 

I think his location is going to see snow showers until Tuesday... good angle on the flow.    

We were just at Snoqualmie Pass sledding this afternoon... it was 31 degrees and there was a breeze.     Not cold.

You will be quite surprised.

 

 

Not really.   It will be above 30 degrees... or around there wiith brilliant sunshine.

 

I don't care how long I have been gone from Minnesota... that will never be cold or uncomfortable to me.    

 

This event could have been epic with snow.   Now its just a matter of stats and your cheeks being cold.      Neither of which excite me.    

 

Here is a video looking NW from around the 1,200' level of Angel's Rest. This was just about 100 or so feet above the inversion. This is 20 minutes of video compressed to 1:40.

 

Biddle Butte is the peak slowly being consumed in the back left.

 

 

Very cool!

I went to bed on the night of February 18, 1993 after watching Jim Bosley on KATU in Portland forecast 1" of snow for the following day followed by a quick transition to rain. The next day was one of the largest one day snow totals of all time at the Salem airport. We had a one day total of 13" in Silverton. The airmass in place ahead of that event was much warmer than next weeks...So we'll see.

Always a chance... moisture should be there.

1989 started out great! BUT there hasn't been ANYTHING at all with this to suggest anything like that was POSSIBLE. So I don't really know why you keep bringing it up?

Brennan said it looked boring and mocked their forecast. What do you want them to show??? It will be sunny and in the 30s in Seattle.

http://www.komonews.com/weather/

 

Komo’s Weather Graphics and Temperature Forecast makes this cold spell and possible overrunning event feel so pedestrian from an outsiders standpoint. 

 

 

Probably pretty close.   5 sunny days in a row that start out chilly and end up in the 30s will not be very memorable.     More memorable maybe for all the sunshine in early February.

 

The only factor that could be memorable is the transition event which I am guess will be interesting for a few hours and then washed away rather quickly in some heavy rain.

 

Looks like we missed the chance to have a really great event from the start (e.g. 1989).

Harsh. Comment wasn't needed dude. No, really. Yes, I'm serious.

 

 

Thanks Rob!

 

Did I mention how much I like your posts since you came back?     Yes... I did that yesterday.  

 

Keep up the good work and don't let my ribbing on your wording bother you.    If this thing was going to dump a foot of snow at the onset... it would actually be insane.    

I can speak for my wife.  She thinks we're all nuts.  

 

Same with my kids.

You can’t even grocery shop with your family without putting your phone down or leaving it in the car? God that’s annoying. Your family hates you.

Screw you... I am walking around on my own while my daughter naps in the cart I am pushing.

Nah. You stepped in it deep, friend.

Don't be so sensitive. I told my in-laws this morning that their arctic air is coming our way... told them it would in the 20s and they laughed. Who cares?

 

I would not want their winter. I like that 20 is brutal.

I was being a sm#rtass. I know.

I was commenting on the word brutal to describe sunny and 25-30. Although in the gorge it will be BRUTAL. Not for most though.

Three times seemed like enough. I MUST POST THIS NOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

No... in Safeway walking around with the cart. Did not realize there was no reception. Walked by the door and it was on there 4 times.

Haven't been on here in a while, decided to take a break while the death ridge held in place. Come back to see some excitement with regards to the models finally showing something remotely interesting. I see Tim still hasn't changed. You'd think after spending practically a whole month under a ridge that wouldnt budge he would just be happy to have something to track. But no. Let's focus on the massive warm-up 7 days away!!! We are all going to be sobbing in the brutally warm south winds!!! Watch out folks!! Models got this SW wind event on lock down! Heard it from Tim and I first!!

 

Loved this winter... will love this week.

 

Just hoping for some snow going in... thats all.

Now I am screwed. Bad reception and it posted 4 times when I got a signal! I can't delete them. Help!

Jesus Christ, Tim...

You have no frame of reference... that is shed the jacket weather at home. Just could not resist with the term 'brutal'.

Jesus Christ, Tim...

You have no frame of reference... that is shed the jacket weather at home. Just could not resist with the term 'brutal'.

Jesus Christ, Tim...

You have no frame of reference... that is shed the jacket weather at home. Just could not resist with the term 'brutal'.

Jesus Christ, Tim...

You have no frame of reference... that is shed the jacket weather at home. Just could not resist with the term 'brutal'.

12Z ECMWF still good through Friday... warming Saturday... gone Sunday. Still time for it to slow down.

Tim I have seen many situations like this over the last 35 years where the cold and snow hung on much longer than forecasted.

Hood Canal... yes.

 

I have seen many the other way for Seattle. Lets hope its all delayed.

Hopefully the Canadian is onto something... then we don't have to worry about the erosion of cold air for awhile longer!    

Indeed. Way too eager to bring south winds into the interior.

 

 

If we have broad SW flow like the GFS has shown... then it will be a fast transition for us in the Seattle area.

 

You always bring up the models issue with scouring cold air... but that happens with strong offshore flow.    With SW flow... we scour out in a hurry.   I have seen that more times than the other way.   But somehow every transition event is based on situations like 2008.     Its a fallacy.