epiceast

As opposed to nothing?

Well I just copied the link and wen through the frames over the weekend. It seems like a solid 25mm+ of liquid, so over a foot for portland? I don't see any reason for precipitation to be anything other than snow.

Wow the GEM looks to be at least an inch for PDX based of that one frame, probably more like 3. Only if the moisture went further north of the low.

Just re-read my post, the censorship of bad words is quite witty here

Post MAPS!

00z brings a lot more goods to the Gorge in believable than any other run potentially

This is by far the most interesting run, especially if this low can reinforce the modified cold air + lock in low elevations into the freezer with snow cover. All of the overrunning ones were 33 in one way or another, with none amounting to much more than December's transition storm.

Major improvement on 00z. Now if climatology can bring this low 100-200 miles north and strengthen it up a bit.

The only thing that will be unusual about this setup is the snow loaded Oregon Columbia Basin, which could help keep the bottom 1000' pretty cool.

Yea I'm actually more excited about this then the current ridge surface high. At least our winter might finally get its act together.

I think it's pretty unlikely that we'll get a significant ice storm, generally the boundary layer is better at mixing out in February than it is in January and December.

It seems to me Tacoma is in for some fun for the next hour or more.

Stuff is trying to happen in the future convergence zone area.

Radar returns already over hood canal. This is good.

Maybe a convergence zone tonight? that thing off the coast is pretty organized and moving into Olympic mountains, if it collides with the cold air the sound could have a fun Monday morning.

Yea, looks like there is some light precip forming over the Basin right now.

Good storm for Vancouver BC... and that's about it

Hopefully more than the coast. Some superbowl snow would be nice. I don't understand why are we focused on an overrunning storm a week away. Plenty of things can happen before that, chances of it turning out like December are under 25%.

18z GFS we could see a half inch -inch going into the blast. Better than December?

it's not cold yet

Anybody start a low pressure watch yet?

Yes, but in the end the events get judged on snow quantity and quality.

Looks like we're back in business. Gonna take a lot to squeeze more than an inch out of this before the overrunning event. I doubt it will be as bad as December snowfall wise, but it's gonna be pretty dry.