BigDaddyMike

Still absolute dumping in Tacoma's North Slope. Easily 15" on the ground now, possibly more. Absolutely NUTS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

No specific indications of changeover timing ( just says "evening" ) or any specific information about boundary line of turn over to rain. They must not know yet? 043 FXUS66 KSEW 111657 AFDSEW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 900 AM PST Mon Feb 11 2019 .SYNOPSIS...A warm front will move through Western Washington this afternoon and tonight. Many portions of the lowlands will see the snow turn to rain. The precipitation will taper off to scattered showers Tuesday and Wednesday. Another weather system will arrive later in the week with heavy mountain snow likely. && .SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...Snow will increase through the afternoon as a warm front arrives. With offshore pressure gradients the precip will remain snow for awhile--but as the southerlies kick in this evening the snow will will turn to rain for many lowland areas. Naturally the coast and southwest will turn to rain first, but the change will come pretty quick around Puget Sound and near the water this evening too. The UW wrfgfs shows Port Angeles getting skunked tonight--probably due to a typical precip shadowing effect so the winter storm warning for the Admiralty Inlet area and the eastern Strait of Juan de Fuca zone will be downgraded to a winter weather advisory. For the most part the forecast is in good shape as southerlies scouring the cool air is fairly certain. The Seattle metro area will see the coolest temps of the night early before the change to rain while away from the water and for locations that have a little elevation we might see the snow hang on longer. Whatcom county usually takes a long time to scour out.

hmmm, looking at radar, seems like cold air is winning right now. moisture turning to snow just inland a bit in the southern washington coast. Is this expected in a turn to rain scenario?

What are you guys thinking of the chance of mixed precip in the south sound area tomorrow? Fedway/Tacoma? I have a hard time believing this is going to happen. Are the models trending towards this or away towards all snow. I am having a hard time following...

Does anyone have a map ( or set of maps ) that would indicate possible freezing rain for South Sound? I am not sure what they are going off of for this possibility.