Timmy Supercell

Awesome cloudy day in the upper 60's, sun hasn't peeked out once. 

Since Ashland Regional is still down, I'm looking at Huntington for observations (usually not too far off our wx except for in some heavy rainfall events). They got to a high of 66 with 0.21" precip. I probably wouldn't call today awesome if it was 40 degrees. I think my pacific northwest buddies would enjoy a milder feeling overcast day over here.

3 hours ago, Phil said:

You know the cold season is on its deathbed when it’s pushing 80°F despite mostly cloudy skies.

Might’ve had our last sub-60°F high until Oct/Nov.

Yup we were low 70's this afternoon with maybe a few minutes of filtered sunshine. 

Even the low temperatures have taken a turn recently. 

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

You were a bit south of totality in 2017? 

That's correct, but I still had a dimness in K-Falls. 

8 minutes ago, Phil said:

Got dark enough here for neighbors’ lights to come on briefly. The dim sunlight was kinda spooky. Temp dropped by ~5°F

Much lighter now.

Got a little dim here for about a half hour as well. Not dark enough to trigger street lights but it reminded me of the Aug 2017 eclipse in Oregon.

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Time to be afraid!

6 minutes ago, Phil said:

Yes, by omission. Such a high amplitude temperature jump may not have occurred at that particular station in its limited period of record, but that is a function of probability (station in right place at the right time). Standard deviations are HUGE in the Antarctic. And most extreme anomalies tend to occur where there are no stations to begin with.

Yes, it’s an impressive anomaly. But it’s not indicative of anything beyond noise/random variability in weather.

I think anomalies in general are greater in colder climates, I saw examples of really large ones in Klamath Falls though they were almost exclusively in certain times of the year. I remember being surprised Nov 2016 wasn't in the top warm ones in that town after finding it ended up with a rather large spread from normal.

So, in that case, what would classify it as a climate breaking statistic? Need more info for sure.

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

My grandmother lived across the river from you in Ironton. It was always hot in the summer when we visited. Putridly humid! 

My first one wasn't so bad, and our early Fall was a nicer transition off of summer than last year.

There can be worse places for summer weather too

31 minutes ago, Phil said:

3 days ago this looked like the beginning of an amplified+dynamic western ridge/eastern trough pattern. Or at least something more variable.

Mother Nature: “Just kidding! Now, back to your regularly scheduled 2024 programming.”

Any idea how this summer might start and end? I want to ease into it and not have 90's in June this year. and then not still have 90's all September.. 

1 hour ago, Niko said:

WOW! Hope everyone and yourself was ok w/ these crazy storms. The ones that are super scary are the nightime tornadoes when everyone is sleeping and not aware of bad weather coming. Stay safe there.

Thankfully my storm was a late morning MCS, and we had a rare 'moderate risk' on SPC for the area, I'm sure many locals saw it coming even if they were at work or doing whatever else. Turns out nobody got injured, but many homes received varying amounts of damage. They expected the evening round to be a more dangerous outbreak, but our 1st round ended up being one large tornadic complex. Many cities were in Tornado Warnings both before and after my county. So I think it would've hurt more people if it had happened out of nowhere.. just a theory though. 

This could be a while before they have the whole scope on what Tuesday did in the Tri-State area.

https://www.wsaz.com/2024/04/06/nws-confirms-9th-tornado-tri-state/?fbclid=IwAR3q2NPvXnX3m4hBDy78xbGdEgRf2h8F97S-yez0he4VL1ua0lFIj6erj0s_aem_AYufZl_ot2UQkxBBv2Y5PZMQUwL4DO6MlAI84mi6JRbeFMbX4EYNB-FSRZsbI9sKZo6xSC6GaNak3rjqEUD4Sk75

1 hour ago, Niko said:

Sorry for the late response amigo...been super busy.

Me too, i missed a real severe t'stm. It feels like its been forever since I saw one.

We had a huge one on Tuesday. Ashland just barely missed a tornado and my county had 2 of them from the same storm..

NWS Charleston is in fact still confirming additional tornadic damage in various locations.

8 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I don’t remember schools closing up here back in 2017 or whenever the last eclipse was. 

School wasn't in session during the last one. 

Right now would be a great time for the solar eclipse. Not a speck of cloud in the sky here. 

Wunderground says mostly cloudy 4/8 and there will be some more rain and t'storm chances off and on coming up again.

Are we still on track to calling this the Total Over Cast of April 8 2024? 

Just found this posted by NWS Charleston on facebook. Apparently one of the Boyd County touchdowns was an EF2. The EF1 was pretty close to Ashland.

A couple things I was able to save around the time I couldn't use my computer.. There were more TOR's being issued after that first loop. Sirens were sounding in Ashland from 10:15 to 10:30 I think. TOR's continued being dished out in WV. It formed a well defined bow echo after passing through the Ohio River.

The SPC then expands the Moderate Risk boundary when it started clearing but I think the evening round was a tad watered down. Even though it sounded like supercells did happen in eastern KY with more tornado watches and warnings in spots. But they didn't appear quite as long lived as modeled.

Moderates are super rare at my location. Western KY has been in a couple since I moved here but not this area.

Just got my internet restored! Hmm.. temperature unknown but feels like 45-50 (and breezy). Ashland airport got knocked, their last observation was 10:10am yesterday, about the time that MCS struck. 

19 hours ago, Phil said:

Idk where in Ashland TimmySupercell lives but a nasty wind core passed very close to him this morning.

For future reference I'm a block over from Central Park in downtown. There is a big King's Daughters Hospital by that park too. 

Skimming through SPC reports from yesterday, someone in Cannonsburg (Boyd Co.) measured a 102 mph gust on their Davis wx station! That first storm was definitely stronger than originally thought. 

Just now, Timmy Supercell said:

Yeah my house had somewhere between 60 to 70. Thankfully my street didn't get anything knocked down. I'm fine for those wondering. I'm waiting for our internet to return. Other than a few power bumps I we got lucky. About 15000 people lost power in the area. Nearby locations had confirmed tornado touchdowns, up to EF1 damage. 

Ironton had a tornado and we've driven there a few times, it's just after one of the bridges out of Ashland.

21 hours ago, Hawkeye said:

Timmy Supercell had a nasty line move through his town a couple hours ago.  An automated station not too far away recorded a 90 mph wind gust.

Yeah my house had somewhere between 60 to 70. Thankfully my street didn't get anything knocked down. I'm fine for those wondering. I'm waiting for our internet to return. Other than a few power bumps I we got lucky. About 15000 people lost power in the area. Nearby locations had confirmed tornado touchdowns, up to EF1 damage. 

4 minutes ago, Timmy Supercell said:

Ashland had the outflow winds and scattered outages/trees down but I don't think this town had a tornado. I have power but most of Ashland reportedly doesn't have internet. Been stuck using a potato Android phone for all of my information. 

It was a big storm. Couldn't make out a lot of structure but it looked like some kind of wall cloud may have formed. But shelf wasn't very clearly there. Video was hard to get and it's a good thing I wasn't standing on our deck because a few objects did fly by right where I would've stood.. Lol 

The day played out differently than they expected. That first MCS turned out to produce the widest swath of reports and damage. Looked like it also bowed out in West Virginia? One source called it a derecho like storm but not sure if it actually was one.

13 hours ago, Phil said:

There are pictures of houses laying on their sides coming out of Ashland/Boyd County, which is where @Timmy Supercell lives.

Hope he’s alright, last time he posted was right before it hit.

 

Ashland had the outflow winds and scattered outages/trees down but I don't think this town had a tornado. I have power but most of Ashland reportedly doesn't have internet. Been stuck using a potato Android phone for all of my information. 

It was a big storm. Couldn't make out a lot of structure but it looked like some kind of wall cloud may have formed. But shelf wasn't very clearly there. Video was hard to get and it's a good thing I wasn't standing on our deck because a few objects did fly by right where I would've stood.. Lol 

Already warming up and its only been light for an hour. 69, and a MCS is approaching! There was a low of 58 at the airport but it must've lasted 5 minutes. Well here we are! They're holding onto the Moderate Risk. Even if my county escapes tornadoes today, I think I will still end up with power outages and some hail out of this. 

Another cooldown on the way after the storms, even some nighttime snow.