Minny_Weather

I think you're right to an extent. Since our last snowfall of a whopping 1.3" we have been consistently above normal, and that is definitely a good point. However, before the last event, the highs were in the 70s two days before, and in the 50s the day before, and didn't have much a problem making for messy travel. Granted, there was hail still on the ground when the snow started (I drove in the hail, yay.) It didn't melt immediately on pavement, but at the same time, it was coming down pretty hard for a couple of hours. I think this is the type of thing where it depends on A) How hard it is snowing (likely moderate at best), can the rate it is snowing overcome any possible snowmelt, and B ) How cold it is on Friday, as in will it be cool enough to warm the ground to where mid-20s temps the night before don't do too much of an impact. But yeah, accumulations, if any occur, should not be significant and should for the most part be grass-only. Story of this Winter. First step is to see if we even get measurable snow.

I have never been thrilled with his AFDs. Plus with the way he abbreviates everything, it's impossible to understand anyway. Zapotocny should have us covered in the morning. 18z GFS hates us again. Then again, 18z runs are usually not the sole thing to watch for things like this.

I just hope we get more than 60-90 miles North of us. They've stolen all of our snow the entire season!

Haha, I'm responsible for the boring weather we've had since September. I came here from Texas, and I seem to cause a weather bubble everywhere I go! Euro run looks encouraging, but its' hard to trust it just yet because it's the first run that has treated us decently.

I'll take 3". That'll at least keep our least seasonal snowfall record safe.

I'm liking the South trend. Last storm worked in our favor in the fact that we actually got measurable snow for once. Waiting for the 00z Euro run to come out to that range. Hope we get a respectable amount of snow before all is said and done. The most we have gotten in one system this season has been 2". That is not normal. Either way, I refuse to believe GEM. They have hypecasted for us this whole season. EDIT: Eh. GFS likes us and Euro hates us. It's been the opposite this whole season. Hah.

Hey, look! Another thing that's going to miss us 18z GFS looks about right for here for any wishcasters, but the rogue 9" for just North of Lincoln is really sketchy and is a huge outlier. Hope things trend West, but even then we'd still probably look at an inch of slush. http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017030618/156/snku_acc.us_c.png