Clinton

This would be a historic snowfall for SE. MO. Nearly 32 inches while I scrounge to get 3. @Nikothis run of the GFS includes you.

NDFD in range now for Neb and Iowa

Models are cruel go look at what the 6z GFS does to me lol.

12z NAM further west again. More generous with accumulations in KC area.

9z SREF Mean not getting the whole thing but looks good.

6z EC 6z Mean close to 0z. Not feeling great about this one.

Here are the GFS and Euro

6z Euro has the SW cut-off dangerously close to mby. Need a colder solution, rain keeps my totals to 3 inches. Great hit for Iowa. KC is always on the edge.

0z GEFS

My office sorta touched on this today. However, there is consensus that this system will have ample flow of dry Arctic air to its west and warm moist Gulf air to its east which sets up a formidable environment for stark boundaries upping the possibility of significant winter weather including snow.

0z RDPS very similar to the NAM

It's alot stronger.

Winds will be gusting 34-38 on the back side, not blizzard but it will blow the snow around.

18z Euro Control and Mean

18z GEFS

The Euro weakens the storm as it moves south while the GFS intensifies it.

I wasn't either until this morning, I was very surprised. The Euro has a better track for you, I hope all of us get something out of this.

12z GFS is great for me, need it just a tad further west for my Kansas friends.

AFD from KC office: The best chance to see precipitation still resides this weekend. Models depict upper-level flow to take on a squished or pinched orientation, if you will, placing the steering mechanism for any disturbances in a north to south pattern directly over the CWA. This will guide a developing low pressure system ejecting out of Canada Friday morning to dive south through our region. While moisture remains lacking at this time, strong upper flow will provide a surge of moisture from the Pacific, and send it south with the incoming low pressure center. This is best seen on the 500-300MB moisture transport and magnitude vectors. As this system enters into the forecast area Friday evening, rain is likely to begin the event. As it leaves over the course of Saturday, dropping temps behind an associated cold front and a potential developing deformation zone, frozen precip may end the event in our forecast area. While we are not hanging our hat on any potential solution, this event does prove itself interesting as the GFS projects it to strengthen as it dives south and swings back north up the east coast as a strong winter cyclone.

Lol I'm waiting for things to shift back east we'll see how it goes, the models have bit us a few times this Winter.

6z EC even further west good grief. EPS mean

6z GEFS with another shift west this morning.

I wasn't expecting to wake up and see all of this, both the GFS and Euro in agreement on several inches of snow for mby. That 1040mb high just north of the lakes is perfect for KC.

Hope your feeling better, it's good to see ya back on. You can send your snow to Missouri we can't buy a flake.

Missed out on the ice here yesterday which was perfectly ok with me, we had drizzle and fog all day. Sunny with average temps today. I'm curious what shows up on the 12z models today, the 6z EC was much different from the 0z.