Meatyorologist

I could really use a 70F day on my scheduled weekend. My SAD has been out of control lately (too much time spent kept up in my room drinking twenty monsters and livestreaming the 12z Euro with Snyder). So long as it snows while it's sunny and warm #blessings #bestofbothworlds #lifegoals

*heir mass

I don't really care about the Tim versus Jesse WAR, it's above my pay grade (zero). But the bare roadcams and warm nose 925mb temp maps and long range EPS ridging just to troll certain members and piss on others having fun in their nonsticking snow, intentionally or not, is lame as hell. And yes I can tell the difference between you trolling and you genuinely appreciating impending warmth. You do plenty of the latter and I don't mind that, hell I agree half the time. But the tagged post is an obvious example of the former.

Unless it stalls and keeps strength I doubt anyone in Seattle below the high points of KSEA and the watertower are gonna get anything measurable. Maybe we SCORE a mix though!

Radar looks pretty good south of the Sound. Maybe we'll squeeze out a W during the last opportunity.

God bless

R/S on maple leaf.

There's a nugget of truth in there, but the reality is that the good majority of us are weather lifer's whether we like it that way or not, and our temperate climate is pretty unforgiving for even the most patient of diehard cloud fanboys. It's hard *not* to be disappointed unless you live in one of the rare, specialized microclimates that try their hardest to be a little more "fair" to us nerds. That all being said, you need more than one reason to live.

That wasn't a downvote. It simply means...

Not a single weather model has the current low under handle. Some are too strong, some too weak. Most are behind in timing by a few hours. Nowcast kind of night ahead (though I don't think there is any alternative during marginal setups.)

Subzero 925's are gonna track almost directly with where it's precipitating, especially with all of the sinking/warming in the low levels over the Sound. A general precip map ought to be just as useful.

Hiking Mt. Si on a day like today would be a weather nerd's playbox. I kind of regret not showing up today with a cup of coffee and my Kestrel 5500FW

Chunky rain

Inversiony November. Snappy January. SLUSHY February and March! Not bad considering back in October the attendees working at northeast Seattle's winter cash-out fob tried their best to inform me that the Pacific was NOT going to cooperate!

Near the ground, yes. But on a macro scale, the storm systems powering our cold fronts are the size of continents and some of the largest heat transfer machines on Earth.

If I had to wager a guess as to what the issue stems from, I'd argue that the models have recently been toyed with as to allow for higher snowfall accumulations through moist-saturated near-sfc columns. This error seems to show up almost exclusively in the immediate vicinity of the coast, exactly where you'd find enhanced lift via the sudden onset of terrain, and the most saturated lower troposphere, right from Pacific onshore winds in a lightly unstable environment. Wouldn't doubt it would be a useful tweak given recent marginal snowfall busts in the Northeast, but since the greater Northwest sits in a gradual transition between a subarctic and subtropical maritime climate zone, where snow can fringe on the hair of dewpoints and Chris' 925mb temp maps and how badly you pray at night, subtle tweaks can wreak havoc on our beloved #snowmaps, as pretty as the colors may be nowadays....

Really hard not to get excited looking at weather models tonight. Lots of small mesoscale oportunities with very high jackpot potential. This next trough will be in rarified territory due to its cold nature alongside its negative tilt, allowing for moisture as well. Fun times ahead.

Can't bring you anywhere!

NAM is biased to overdo evaporative cooling... Likely stems from the same internal flaw which causes an underestimation of stratoform precip. Hopefully it's right though and I eat crow!

Took a drive up to South Everett! About 2-3" here.

That is a webcam for the ages, Skykomish.

That is a beautiful convergence zone...

KSEA coming in with a 5pm low of 35F.

Snow back at home! Grauple transitioned to plain snowflakes.

Yeesh! That blows. What happened?