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Rubus Leucodermis

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Everything posted by Rubus Leucodermis

  1. Strong Cat 4, maybe even a Cat 5 by the time it hits, gradual undersea slope. It’s the recipe for a high surge. And it’s gonna be bad, because storm surge is the most damaging aspect of a hurricane. This is one of those hurricanes where there will be aerial pictures of entire communities wiped off the map.
  2. Ian is coming ashore as a strong Cat 4 that like Michael may be upgraded to Cat 5 after the fact. Ft. Meyers beach cam:
  3. There’s analogs and then there’s analogs. Last year was a very good analog for 1990; that became quite obvious by November, and sure enough, there was a prolonged cold snap in December. I don’t see anything comparably good this year, and last year the analog was only a month or two out, not 3+ months.
  4. Last fall, every storm had the BC Lower Mainland in its crosshairs, this year they all go south. One of these years a nice happy medium would be welcome.
  5. I have yet to see more than slushy flurries in April in the nearly 30 years I have lived in the PNW (excluding trips into the mountains, of course). The time Seattle got a significant April snowfall, I was living in Portland. When PDX did, I was living in Vancouver, BC. So it goes. Got see plenty of ’em when I lived in the Rockies, though. And a few May snowstorms, too.
  6. To put that into perspective, Yakima averages 33.6 90+ days/year. https://wrcc.dri.edu/cgi-bin/cliMAIN.pl?wa9465
  7. So wanting to rehash Ferguson is even more unrealistic then, got it.
  8. Disappointing. Even the amounts in the blue areas don’t amount to that much over a 10-day period.
  9. I am shocked, shocked, that political parties would want to play partisan politics.
  10. Suppose Trump had sulked for a few days and then accepted the election results. No claims of being cheated, no instigation of rioting at the Capitol, no actual riot. Then after the 20th, Trump retires into relative obscurity like a normal ex-president. What would your reaction be? Massive upset at Republicans for wanting to move on instead of wanting all of the corruption and outrages of the Trump Era to continue to be examined under a microscope, or understanding that of course they want to move on, this is politics, maximizes their chances of winning? Of course that is not how it happened. Instead Trump chose to escalate things into into a riot that also functioned as a coup attempt, something far more serious than the sort of urban unrest that has happened multiple times in US history. The former is far more a danger to the continued existence of a free society.
  11. Well, at least you cancelled your fishing outing. That should hopefully send most of the precip north, thank you!
  12. Politics is mostly about winning. Rehashing pitfall-laden issues may win points with you for scrupulous intellectual honesty, but intellectual honesty doesn't win elections.
  13. Any phrase that the other side can turn against you and make toxic so easily is a stupid phrase to choose. It may not be fair that such exercises so often substitute for reasoned discussion, but that's politics for you.
  14. Oh, I don't think they were happy about it at all. It had been brewing a long time, particularly in Portland, which has a bad record of aggressive policing at protests (having lived in both Portland and Seattle, the contrast between the two police departments was quite personally evident to me). Policing has been a mess in big cities for a long time, and the failure of generally Democratic administrations in dealing with it does not reflect well on that party. Given all that, periodic backlash in the form of widespread unrest is all but inevitable. In fact, I really cannot think of any motivator for widespread urban unrest comparable to excessive use of force by police officers. It has happened time and time again during my adult life. And before you ask: Yes, I apply the same standards to what happened on January 6th as well. Given all the lies being circulated by Trump and in his media echo chamber about Trump having been cheated out of a second term, something like what actually happened was pretty much inevitable. (I'd probably feel like rioting, too, if I believed democracy had basically ended and my side had been deprived of a rightful victory.) Trump & Co. really did instigate those riots, and really should be prosecuted for it. My interest in seeing the random losers who fell for it all serve hard time really isn't that high.
  15. Wow, so taking a knee is equivalent to positively endorsing (insert anything anyone on the left says about the police)? Mmmmkay. And why shouldn't Democrats just try to put the summer or 2020 behind them? It's full of pitfalls for their party. That what parties tend to do about issues full of pitfalls: quietly walk away from them. Meanwhile, Trump can't keep his big yap shut about his long list of grievances, many of them imaginary. Given all that, it hardly takes a vast left-wing conspiracy in the media to explain the natural outcome in media coverage.
  16. Which “Dems” did that? Don’t confuse radical activists (virtually all of whom do not consider themselves to be either liberals or Democrats) with Democratic Party candidates.
  17. So it sounds like they've walked away from it and nobody is campaigning on it, then.
  18. Who won the Democratic nomination for president and what has he had to say about “defund the police?” How many Democrats are campaigning on that slogan in this election cycle?
  19. Average here is in the upper 40's by this time of year, and haven't seen that since last week. If anything, I would expect Eugene's averages to be even cooler by now. You do tend to get early autumn overnight cold pretty easily in the southern WV.
  20. Ending last week I had a pretty decent string of normal minima with a few that edged slightly into below-normal territory, despite many afternoon maxima being above normal. Since then my nights have been on the mild side.
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