Gradient Keeper

00z GEFS Day 4.5 (4-run trend) Same issue lack of amplitude. I doubt this run will be anywhere as good/cold as 18z, 12z

No support to drive that arctic air south on the GEM.

00z GEFS Day 3 (4-run trend)

How deflating.... 00z ECMWF in 1 hour 24 minutes

Yeah could tell it was going to do that.... Need a miracle from the GEFS, Euro/EPS

Maybe some backdoor cold if we're lucky.

Should I even continue posting this run? Yikes.

Maybe a chance the GEFS holds steady?

Day 5.5 (4-run trend) and this run is toast... Well that's unfortunate. I hope the Euro saves us.

Day 5 (4-run trend) Less amplitude with ridge. I do not like this.

Day 4.5 (4-run trend) Random GIF

Day 4 (4-run trend) Random Dave Chappelle GIF

Day 3.5 (4-run trend) A bird GIF

Day 3 (4-run trend) Random fail GIF

Day 2.5 (4-run trend) Random outhouse GIF

Day 2 (4-run trend) Random cat GIF

Day 1.5 (4-run trend)

00z GFS Day 1 (4-run trend)

Here we go!!!!

They all gathered for the first time Thursday, January 11th for the first annual Western Weather Forum meet-n-greet Snowball Fight extravaganza... After they were all properly hammered from downing brewkies at Tapster they ventured outside and it was glorious.

The biggest issue if this doesn't pan out is Day 5-7 the energy trying to shove the ridge to the east and split the ridge and Aleutian high pressure cell from merging. We really want to see 00z runs show a stronger ridge/merger and shunt that energy further southwest.

Icon looks fine.

How's the Icon looking?

Alright can't believe I'm still awake, but can't keep going. Cya later today

To be fair, the GEFS honestly has a very similar pattern progression.