You just almost have to wonder if the models are about to flip. We go through this 10-14 day period during the active MJO cycle, stormy pattern, and then blocking abruptly takes over.
We'll probably see 10-14 days of an active NPAC and then maybe blocking comes back. Imagine if the September-October pattern popped up near Christmas Eve. With that bitter of air on our side of the pole that would be fun! C'MON!!!!
12z GFS in 3 hours 58 minutes