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Everything posted by Gradient Keeper
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October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Model comparison - Centered at 11 PM Monday. We're real close to seeing things real cold REAL FAST! C'MON!!!! 12z GEM 00z GEM -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
00z GEM says HELLO WINTER! WOW! -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Not there yet, but moving that way as the GIF shows. -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Past 6 GFS runs centered at Day 4. Big move towards colder EURO Animated GIF https://imgur.com/a/0tYgyaz -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
00z GFS Big move towards EURO HR 60-84 -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Oh my lord man. What a terrible thing to witness. So sorry. Yeah drunk drivers to hell with them and all the public service announcements, all of the awareness, it just doesn't seem to make any difference. Very angering. 00z GFS in 1 hour 14 minutes -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
That might be true, although admittedly I'm not a huge believer in low solar leading to massive blocking, bitter cold for us. You can still have pizza though. 00z GEM in 3 hours -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
It's not in my top 5, not yet at least. If we end up with an epic November-December I may bump it up past cold pool. 00z ECMWF in 5 hours 12 minutes -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Favorite words of Winter Retrogression Arctic Front Winter Storm Watch/Warning Cold Pool Pizza -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Yep and now the 18z GEFS shows serious retrogression potential. 00z GFS in 3 hours 27 minutes -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Hmmm, probably nothing, but you know how often I will post model trends and I will talk about there is a notch difference in the pattern from run to run. Well I notice around HR 60-72 the past 4 runs of the GFS is trending to dig the arctic trough a notch or two each run a bit more towards Eastern Washington. Looks like 200 miles further west. I suppose of this trend were to continue the next 6-8 runs we may see a colder weekend into next week perhaps ending up with a scenario that some of the colder runs of the GEM/ECMWF. Animated GIF https://imgur.com/8Dromwq -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Yep. We're not too far from seeing a cold pattern develop. 12z ECMWF in 10 hours 45 minutes -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Cold, strong east winds + sunshine. Win, win win. 6z GFS in 2 hours 43 minutes -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
00z ECMWF bit colder -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
He's at a retirement facility, but occasionally he breaks out and goes to the local strip club. 00z GFS in 5 hours 32 minutes -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Block holds around 140-130 W, then after Halloween retrogrades. Book it. MBG Money Back Guarantee 18z GFS in 21 minutes 00z GFS in 6 hours 21 minutes 00z GEM in 7 hours 5 minutes 00z ECMWF in 8 hours 38 minutes -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
We're somewhat close to seeing models trend colder again. -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Very interesting signal for retrogression on the 00z Canadian ensembles. -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Day 6 ... -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Day 4 -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
The upstream players on the 00z ECMWF seem to hint this run might be a touch better... Maybe. -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
If we don't have east winds this weekend into at least Monday I'll give you a crisp $1 bill. 12z GEM in 10 hours 54 minutes -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
The 00z GEM/Canadian really wants to tilt the block sharply and digs the cold trough back towards us abruptly. It doesn't quite get here, but it's MUCH chillier than the GFS. Do I think it'll play out like this? Probably not, but this would be really nice in my opinion. 6z GFS in 4 hours 23 minutes -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
I'm very sorry to hear that. Hang in there. -------------------------------------------- 00z ECMWF in 42 minutes -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Yep. I really wasn't expecting that. 6z GFS in 4 hours