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Everything posted by Gradient Keeper
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October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
00z ECMWF Day 8-10 raises a few eyebrows. I think you'll like this. Day 8 Day 9 Day 10 -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Well this is about as exciting as scooping the litter box.... 00z ECMWF in 32 minutes! -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
00z GFS Day 6-7 Fast moving clipper system. More snow for Intermountain West, Montana, Rockies. -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
00z ECMWF Saturday morning: Not too terribly exciting, but tonight's run wants to spin up a wave of low pressure off the Coast west of Pacific City. It's not super deep at around 999mb, but the wind gust model does show the southerlies ramping up around 2-9 AM which might reach Advisory levels mainly south of Portland. A few spots on the Coast may see gusts to High Wind Warning levels. That's IF the EURO is correct. Perhaps this is something to keep an eye on. -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
00z GEM looks stormy Saturday -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
That was rare and it came straight down the BC coast. A northerly blast. It produced a few lightning strikes in the PDX metro area too. -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
ex-Super Typhoon Hagibis is now fully entrained into the WPAC jet. BIG comma head emerging. -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
More than likely yep. ex-Super Typhoon Hagibis is now beginning to be pulled into the Western Pacific jet, but so far models don't dig the upper level trough enough for any fun. 6z GFS in 3 hours 26 minutes -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
00z WRF 11:00 AM Saturday..... It's trying -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
00z GFS = Meh. Wet. Breezy. Nothing fun. Mt. Snows at times. 00z GEM = Meh. Meh. Wet. Nope. 00z ECMWF in 20 minutes -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
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October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
A rare 2nd week of October east wind event peaked this morning. i can't remember seeing anything like this before Halloween. Peak GustsCrown Point: 70mph @8:06 AM, 11:46 AM (That would be 80mph+ along the stairs!)Corbett: 52mph @ 6:05 AM, 8:38 AM [Peak Gradients] [Gorge/Gap Gradients] PDX-DLS: -8.3mb @9 AM) TTD-DLS: -7.8mb @10 AM) [Cross Cascade Gradients] PDX-YKM: -9.1mb @8 AM) PDX-MWH: -9.3mb @7 AM) PDX-GEG: -9.5mb @11 AM) OTH-GEG: -13.4mb @4 AM) 00z GFS in 4 hours 34 minutes00z GEM in 4 hours 56 minutes00z ECMWF in 6 hours 49 minutes -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
It is VERY wind at my house with loud, roaring gusts near West Gresham. We simply do not see east wind events before Halloween. This is crazy. -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Correct me if I'm wrong, but 1862 didn't that occur due to extreme jet suppression down into central/southern California rather than typical strong GoA blocking? I might be wrong though. 6z GFS in 3 hours 19 minutes -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Horse Ridge(outside of Bend) 4 degrees. Blackfeet Montana(near Cut Bank) -3 00z GFS in 13 hours 50 minutes -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
6:24 AM Temp 42.4 with a very breezy east wind. Near west Gresham. 12z GFS in 2 hours 4 minutes 12z ECMWF in 4 hours 21 minutes -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Super tankage! -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Wow. 9-0 STL in the 1st INNING! I wonder if the next trough trends colder. Hmmm.... 00z GFS in 6 hours 2 minutes -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
It is a VERY mild and breezy evening Temp 64.5, Southwest Winds 20-30mph near West Gresham. It *Feels* like Fall out there! PDX and Troutdale are at 66 degrees now! -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
No worries. I just sort of joined in the fray and commented once or twice. I was pleasantly surprised and pleased that everyone remained quite civil and considering the topic that's not common often things turn south real fast when discussing politics. 00z GFS in 2 hours 24 minutes -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Valid point. 12z GEM in 8 hours 4 minutes -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Colder runs ahead? 6z GFS in 1 hour 43 minutes -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Universal Zulu Time = PDT/PST conversionLOCAL -- PDT -- PST Midnight = 07z - 08z 1 a.m. = 08z - 09z 2 a.m. = 09z - 10z 3 a.m. = 10z - 11z 4 a.m. = 11z - 12z 5 a.m. = 12z - 13z 6 a.m. = 13z - 14z 7 a.m. = 14z - 15z 8 a.m. = 15z - 16z 9 a.m. = 16z - 17z 10 a.m. = 17z - 18z 11 a.m. = 18z - 19z Noon = 19z - 20z 1 p.m. = 20z - 21z 2 p.m. = 21z - 22z 3 p.m. = 22z - 23z 4 p.m. = 23z - 00z 5 p.m. = 00z - 01z 6 p.m. = 01z - 02z 7 p.m. = 02z - 03z 8 p.m. = 03z - 04z 9 p.m. = 04z - 05z 10 p.m. = 05z - 06z 11 p.m. = 06z - 07z LEGEND: PDT = Pacific Daylight Savings Time PST = Pacific Standard Time -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
00z WRF 5:00 AM Wednesday and I spy 925mb temps of -18c in Central BC. Not bad! -
October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW
Gradient Keeper replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Past 4 runs centered at 11 PM Tuesday. Very noticeable trend to shift the cold trough westward more over us. The Gulf of Alaska block also has trended stronger. Animated GIF > https://imgur.com/nmYOBZR