seattleweatherguy
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January 2021 weather observations for the PNW
seattleweatherguy replied to MossMan's topic in West of the Rockies
And it will return if models change again. -
January 2021 weather observations for the PNW
seattleweatherguy replied to MossMan's topic in West of the Rockies
This map shows cai getting 0.2 inches of snow up and down the state interesting -
January 2021 weather observations for the PNW
seattleweatherguy replied to MossMan's topic in West of the Rockies
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...Aforementioned high pressure will prevail on Wednesday into Thursday with temperatures cooling to just below normal. Ridge shifts off to the east Thursday as large upper level low across the eastern Pacific drops southeast. 12z ECMWF has come more into line with 12Z GFS and drops the low south but is more to the west and south as it heads into California. GFS takes the low in closer proximity to Washington as it heads into Oregon - with wrap around precip affecting portions of the area. This would suggest the possibility of a rain/snow mix in the lowlands but latest ensemble solutions have backed off on the possibility of snow with only a member or two showing anything. Ridging likely rebounds for later Friday into Saturday with cooler northerly flow. Things become more interesting for the end of the weekend into next week as ensembles highlight a better probability of below normal temperatures and snow chances for the lowlands. At this point, it's anyone's guess so continue to stay tuned! -
January 2021 weather observations for the PNW
seattleweatherguy replied to MossMan's topic in West of the Rockies
Last week of Jan like Phil said it might be -
January 2021 weather observations for the PNW
seattleweatherguy replied to MossMan's topic in West of the Rockies
wow for tonight that is crazy strong would at least give us a wind advisory tonight. -
January 2021 weather observations for the PNW
seattleweatherguy replied to MossMan's topic in West of the Rockies
Goff will play but Seattle wins. Onto weather no thunderstorms today so far -
January 2021 weather observations for the PNW
seattleweatherguy replied to MossMan's topic in West of the Rockies
On the komo site "The widespread, steady rain of this morning will eventually break apart to gusty showers this afternoon as a cold front departs off to the east. A few (non-severe) thundershowers capable of lightning and small hail are possible this afternoon, especially from Hood Canal west toward the coast. Some hi-res models are showing an isolated thunder potential in Puget Sound around 4-5 PM. A developing convergence zone over Snohomish County may also produce steady rain/small hail translating to heavy snow along HWY 2 tonight. Interesting. https://komonews.com/weather -
January 2021 weather observations for the PNW
seattleweatherguy replied to MossMan's topic in West of the Rockies
For the remainder of the weekend and just outside of this forecast period, ensemble guidance is strongly suggestive of impressive ridging continuing over Canada and the adjacent North Atlantic. Ridging still appears likely to begin to build across the western US Sunday into early next week. This would lend towards a period of drier weather if trends were to continue this way. In fact, with such a pattern like this, it appears possible we could see a period of time this month where ridging remains persistent over the west, and troughing remains confined to the eastern US. Will be interesting to watch this evolve. ouch -
January 2021 weather observations for the PNW
seattleweatherguy replied to MossMan's topic in West of the Rockies
Brent Anderson take on what the ECWF long range note end of Jan https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/anderson/long-range-pattern-clues-for-the-start-of-2021/876407 -
January 2021 weather observations for the PNW
seattleweatherguy replied to MossMan's topic in West of the Rockies
Wow just a dusting 0.5 for Bothell but I will take it -
January 2021 weather observations for the PNW
seattleweatherguy replied to MossMan's topic in West of the Rockies
according to ventusky bothell could get 40mph plus gusts and yet not under the wind advisory hmmm -
January 2021 weather observations for the PNW
seattleweatherguy replied to MossMan's topic in West of the Rockies
Wow I saw that except bothell is excluded. Per the ventusky site bothell still could get 40mph gusts -
January 2021 weather observations for the PNW
seattleweatherguy replied to MossMan's topic in West of the Rockies
that windstorm on sat does not look that impressive according to the nws. Gusts up to 40 in seattle more like 30 near me and northward -
December 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW
seattleweatherguy replied to Omegaraptor's topic in West of the Rockies
dont take the risk or we are in "trouble" -
December 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW
seattleweatherguy replied to Omegaraptor's topic in West of the Rockies
Wow how soon mid January? Top tier meaning min high and low temps and or snow? -
December 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW
seattleweatherguy replied to Omegaraptor's topic in West of the Rockies
MMQB Which model was most accurate in terms of snowfall and temperatures? As well as 850 ect -
December 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW
seattleweatherguy replied to Omegaraptor's topic in West of the Rockies
flurries maybe that is it for this snow -
December 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW
seattleweatherguy replied to Omegaraptor's topic in West of the Rockies
An inch here by eye balling it -
December 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW
seattleweatherguy replied to Omegaraptor's topic in West of the Rockies
Bigger thicker flakes here than I can remember for -
December 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW
seattleweatherguy replied to Omegaraptor's topic in West of the Rockies
sticking to cement here -
December 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW
seattleweatherguy replied to Omegaraptor's topic in West of the Rockies
Around 400 -
December 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW
seattleweatherguy replied to Omegaraptor's topic in West of the Rockies
Snow here -
December 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW
seattleweatherguy replied to Omegaraptor's topic in West of the Rockies
Snow/rain here -
December 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW
seattleweatherguy replied to Omegaraptor's topic in West of the Rockies
Hopefully right over south bothell -
December 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW
seattleweatherguy replied to Omegaraptor's topic in West of the Rockies
heavy rain right now