Jump to content

SilverFallsAndrew

Longtimer
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    56440

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    402

 Content Type 

Everything posted by SilverFallsAndrew

  1. SilverFallsAndrew
    Then listen and learn. 2016-17 was the exception, not the rule. We've had what, 3 of the past 10 winters with decent snowfall. 2008-09, 2013-14, 2016-17. In our climate last winter was actually decent. January torched, but December and February were below average. And it snowed. In the 1950s or 60s last winter would have sucked, but if you compare it to the past 30 years it was OK. A ridge overhead with strong arctic air moving down east of the Rockies is a great east wind pattern...
  2. SilverFallsAndrew
    And apparently have no understanding of our climate, and no desire to learn. Great combo, it almost seems like pointless trolling...
  3. SilverFallsAndrew
    Some REALLY wet ensemble members.
  4. SilverFallsAndrew
    Hate to break it to people, but Portland had above average snowfall last winter. It kind of is what it is...
  5. SilverFallsAndrew
    December 1983? Yeah not super common.
  6. SilverFallsAndrew
    Holy mother of God. January 1971 redux?!
  7. SilverFallsAndrew
    Given it will be early December and the initial airmass is fairly chilly that should not be a problem.
  8. SilverFallsAndrew
    What's funny is what the FV3 shows would probably be a pretty good east wind setup.
  9. SilverFallsAndrew
    Massive arctic outbreak.
  10. SilverFallsAndrew
    This is incredible. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/tanal/mon2day.F.gif
  11. SilverFallsAndrew
    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610temp.new.gif
  12. SilverFallsAndrew
    Honestly even though it is likely the vast majority of the cold air slides east it looks like a below average start to December in the PNW. Dry airmass that starts as pretty chilly and then transitions to "fake cold" probably.
  13. SilverFallsAndrew
    Should we explain climate 101?
  14. SilverFallsAndrew
    I'm actually pretty optimistic. Call me Phil, but I think in a decade or two all of this hand wringing will seem pretty silly.
  15. SilverFallsAndrew
    Well there would probably be a lot of fake cold if that run verified and my goodness that is some shot of cold going into the eastern half of the nation late in the run. Looks like no sign of the arctic express letting up.
  16. SilverFallsAndrew
    Gets chilly, but not cold. At the surface would be a chilly pattern though.
  17. SilverFallsAndrew
    I think we're going to have a fun active winter.
  18. SilverFallsAndrew
    Drunkcle could be interesting...
  19. SilverFallsAndrew
    I think the real winter weather potential will be generally north of Seattle and in that December 3-5 period. Just a hunch.
  20. SilverFallsAndrew
    Wow Kansas City is 27 with snow and winds gusting to 55mph right now. Totally insane for November.
  21. SilverFallsAndrew
    Not sure what that even means. But right now it is looking like about 0.50-0.75" for the Willamette Valley and about 1-1.5" up here. Could keep us from a top 10 dry November...Not quite sure.
  22. SilverFallsAndrew
    This would be pretty chilly next weekend.
  23. SilverFallsAndrew
    That little shortwave on Friday would be a good shot of mountain snow above about 2500'.
  24. SilverFallsAndrew
    Still only 41 at SLE in the fog. 46 with filtered sunshine up here.
  25. SilverFallsAndrew
    The ensembles will be very telling.,
×
×
  • Create New...