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SilverFallsAndrew

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Everything posted by SilverFallsAndrew

  1. Did you see the 18z FV3-GFS? It is shockingly good for NW Washington.
  2. The obligatory 384 hour map. Very cold trough phasing with the cutoff low offshore. Looks solid. But overall a VERY interesting run.
  3. Wow, the FV3 keeps it going for several days, basically a battle of the airmasses...Very wet for NW Oregon.
  4. If I was Tim that is what I would be saying. Did you know he has never been wrong?
  5. So probably meaningless, but the FV3-GFS shows snow north of Seattle next Sunday night. Looks like Fraser outflow with a low to the south. Also about a 2-3day AR into NW Oregon.
  6. Yeah I did, but it goes to show what quasi-stationary heavy precip can do. EURO snow maps are still garbage.
  7. Doesn't even look like WSU is even trying anymore. They look like a defeated team.
  8. The ensembles weren't a trainwreck. A few solidly cold members, overall much wetter.
  9. I am around 3" now on the month. Average for the entire month is 11" so definitely running behind.
  10. No. We thought about it, but my family decided to do Thanksgiving today, so we are just going to be in Silverton. The only scenario I could see snow falling at Pullman, and probably what the EURO is showing is a stalled band of heavy precip. 44 and partly sunny in Pullman right now.
  11. It wasn't bad down south either. Salem had 5" of snow on the 14th that stuck around for 4-5 days. Ended up well below average even down here. However, nothing like shown on that map came close to verifying. Just looked at Silver Falls data, what stands out is how consistently cool the month was. Never had a high over 43 there. Every day from the 9th on had a sub-40 high. I never really noticed until now, but they had a streak of sub-40 highs from December 8 - January 17th. May be a record for that location.
  12. What it shows on that map I posted above would bring pretty low snow levels north of the low.
  13. Much warmer and drier than any other model. Tim will be on here posting every 3 hour frame momentarily.
  14. The GFS moves this system into CA. The GEM and FV3-GFS want to bring it right through Oregon.
  15. Some eye candy from two years ago. Didn't turn out quite this good, but the early December period did bring a solid 4-5" snowfall up here and about an inch in the valley from Salem north.
  16. Much wetter than the GFS, both have a fairly cool trough by next weekend.
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