SilverFallsAndrew

The ensembles are pretty decent.

M Nel says the 12z GFS shows a Willamette Valley snow event...I wish.

You are right in that this has been nothing like January 1985 which only had .50" up here. The valleys have been a bit drier in relation to average, at least down here... And of course this comes after a dry October, November, and December...

I may end up with about 6" of rain, maybe 7" this month. Sounds like a lot, but average is about 10.5" for January.

0.48" of rain here today. Every little bit counts.

00z ensembles are improved.

Ensembles out soon!

At least we'll always have the early December arctic blast and Eugene's -10.

This is the winter from hell.

Wow so far the 00z GFS isn't close to anything good.

At hour 120 the GFS isn't going anywhere good...

23 degrees with freezing rain in Mobile, Al! http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mob/

00z is about to take the stage!

To bad we can't get a period of cold onshore flow ahead of the arctic front like we did in February 2011.

That blast is sure looking dry right now, but a lot of time for that to change. The operational and ensembles are looking pretty good. 06z probably had the coldest mean yet.

It does kind of go to hell after that...But...

Well then...lol

2002

Looking at hour 192 it doesn't look like its going anywhere good...

Zonal flow! http://models.weatherbell.com/eps/2014012700/noram/eps_m_z500a_c_noram_38.png Don't worry it doesn't last! http://models.weatherbell.com/eps/2014012700/noram/eps_m_z500a_c_noram_49.png And when February ends... http://models.weatherbell.com/eps/2014012700/noram/eps_m_z500a_c_noram_65.png

Holy hell... http://models.weatherbell.com/eps/2014012700/noram/eps_m_z500a_c_noram_32.png

Time for the 00z to rock!

Yeah here too!

I noticed! We traded Flatiron for Richard...A pretty even trade I suppose! lol