Sometimesdylan

21 outside downtown Juneau, 18 at the airport, and 6 near my house. Our ski area opened up today. Good skiing with all the light snow. Probably another day or two of good skiing before the snow gets tracked out. Hot toddy weather

Clouds cleared out today. Cooling down. Sitting at 14 degrees. North wind is starting to pick up in some places, but calm where I am. Trees still holding snow. Pretty evening with the alpenglow reflecting on the trees.... just about dark now tho.

FWIW this is the first overrunning event we've had in a couple years that has not just switched to rain and melted off the next day. Seems like since 2011/2012 most of the overrunning events would be a day of cold snow followed by a half day of heavy wet snow switching to rain.

JNU NWS Office this AM "Models in agreement for an even colder air mass to move in for the weekend and then again mid week. Began the trend to lower temps for this time. For now staying toward the higher side of the model temp spectrum. The cold air and increasing winds will result in freezing spray for some of the inner channels and cold wind chills, especially at higher elevations."

Anywhere from 5-10 inches of snow has fallen so far here in Juneau. It's dumping! Should continue throughout the day.

6 inches of snow so far since this AM. Heaviest bands of precip not even here yet. What a good evening.

It's funny reading back on this as NOAA was predicting 3-6 for tonight and had issued a winter advisory... Between what the models were showing in liquid amounts and what the radar was showing with the precip arriving faster, I was thinking the CZ was going to set up over Juneau and not 40 miles west of it like NOAA was thinking. Well, NOAA just upgraded it to a Winter Storm Watch with 10-18 inches The text group I have here for weather was pretty stoked I guessed it (hopefully! still have to see...). Would not have done it without the knowledge I gained reading you guys! Currently snowing at a moderate amount, probably picked up a trace in the last hour.

Good morning everyone. 13 outside right now. Think I'm getting some snow later this afternoon, models showing anywhere from 3-6 to 8-14 inches of snow tonight into tomorrow. The GFS has the most, but has been consistently showing/growing in its forecast. The euro didn't show much until just yesterday. Overcast right now... something is coming in the sky. Can't wait for finals to get done with. I wanna be done with OB and Pediatric nursing!!!

I have a friend whos a met up here who pretty much swore by the NAM.. Don't know why it gets so much flack. I tend to believe it more than the others.

15 degrees outside. A stiff breeze anywhere from 5-30mph blowing with a northerly attitude In a lotta locations here. Might get a couple inches of snow on Wednesday, but expect a mostly cloudless couple days leading up to it. Life is good, coffee is good... Enjoy your day.

28. Probably be the high for today. Looks like the models are strengthening the Yukon high. We're gonna get a see freeze here, been a while since we've had a week or two like this.

33 outside and creeping down. Picked up 3 inches of snow outside my house. 18z GFS showing about 0.5 inches of liquid for the next 6 hours. Radar shows some showers offshore from Sitka, the mountains block anything showing on radar inland. Hope to pick up 2-4 more inches before things dry out tomorrow.

With a high pressure this long and sustained, I'm wondering how long we'll be under high winds. We could probably have a good 3 week stretch of winds >30mph in some locations. Freezing spray... Shallow bays will start icing up.... and my truck does not have a working heater core...

We're gonna be cooking up (or down...) a cold one. Wonder who we're gonna pass it off to.

Juneau NWS: "Low level warm air advection associated with yesterday's storm has finally run out. High temperatures today will occur early in the day and then begin a steady fall through the afternoon and over night." About 37 degrees this morning. Will be the last high above 30 I feel for a while. With events like this, it's cool knowing that I'm upstream of you guys. Gonna feel some arctic air tomorrow! For now I'm just hoping this heavy rain turns to snow before things clear out. The NWS here mentioned a convergence zone somewhere near Juneau a couple discussions ago. Would be awesome if that happened.

Juneau forecast discussion this am: FXAK67 PAJK 021734 CCA AFDAJK Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED National Weather Service Juneau AK 834 AM AKST .LONG TERM...Long range period mainly deals with a switch to a much colder pattern that sticks around through most of next week. The cool down will be a one two punch affair. The first shot will be incoming from the W and SW as the cold air wraps around a lee side low in the northern gulf. Even though the air mass started out in the arctic the warm gulf waters will have modified the air mass by the time it gets here. However, 850 mb temps still drop to -10 to -12 C by Sat night which will be plenty cold enough for the remaining precip in the panhandle to change over to snow as early as Sat afternoon. QPF values will be rather low so any accumulations will only be around a few inches though some areas could see some higher amounts due to convergence or convective enhancement. Cold shot number two shows up late Sunday coming directly from the Yukon this time. This is the air mass that will cause temperatures to plummet into the teens and 20s or lower early next week. The results of this will be two fold. First, winds will change to the north and rapidly increase in the usual outflow areas. Gales expected for many of these areas. Freezing spray also expected with the high winds and low air temperatures in the northern inner channels. Second result will be the drying out of the panhandle as the northerly winds push what precip is left southward. Main forecast changes were in this time period as model trends had the precip and accompanying weak low in the gulf slower to push out then what was in there previously. Used mainly nam for guidance in this period for details on the outflow winds and timing on when the precip ends. Extended forecast remains cold as the cold northerly winds continue to feed cold air from the Yukon into the panhandle. There are indications that it will not be dry though. Guidance is suggesting that a gale force front may approach the panhandle mid to late next week and with cold air still entrenched in the inner channels it will likely be mostly snow that falls. Agreement on the track of the main low is up in the air though as scenarios range from a track into Haida Gwaii to it wandering around the western gulf. About the only thing we can say with some certainty is that there will be a storm somewhere in the gulf in the latter half of next week.

We ride models more than most hiphop artists.

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Our ski area elevation is 1200-2600 ft. If it's 45 and raining it's mostly all below snow line. Makes me have to go to Haines to get my skiing fix, but I'm in the middle of finals so that won't be a go for two weeks.

I'm on the fence. I'm okay with it just being cold/dry/windy so I can bust out the ice climbing tools, but if it is snowy I would be able to get my skiing/snowmobiling fix. Just anything but 45 degrees and raining is what I'm rooting for.

Still looks cold up here. No surprise to you guys I'm sure. Gonna be interesting to see if any of these lows that approach SE AK next week will be able to fight their way to land or just get beat down by the ridge. Currently 40 degrees.

18z keeps us in the freezer with pretty much no snow. Cold and dry with northerly outflow through the inside passage.

Oh yes?

Crazy seeing how consistently sustained the cold has been forecasted up here. Hard to believe with the warm rain we're getting now that in a couple days things will be freezing like that.

39 outside here.. rain showers.. Looks cold next week...