TacomaWx

Yeah I was going to say…it’s still pretty early. I do get snowmizers point about past events compared to this. It’s quite an evaporative cooling event if it does happen. You and him should be totally fine this evening…but I’m still not sure about here even with the euro showing over 1”

Lol that’s just your inner weenie speaking way too early to be worried.

Yeah, just a few miles away I do much better…but still not the best spot in western WA either. We’ve had 7.5” here since December 2021…but overall after this winter assuming a big snowfall doesn’t happen in the next few weeks we will probably be due for a 4-6” snowfall. Havent had a big snow event since December 2021…just a lot of small ones.

Tacoma narrows is down to 23 right now so maybe your DP sensor is a bit off?

I’m really hoping that tonight works out but we will see the euro is giving me some hope. If we can do 8 years in a row with measurable snowfall in February that would be amazing…just not sure what to make of this potential event yet!

I think he (or she not sure) rephrased that and isn’t a Washington state native…so might not be exactly familiar with the geography of the area super well and that most cities out in kitsap are like 15-20 miles east of the Olympics.

Gotcha, that makes sense. Geographically speaking places like Bremerton, Belfair, silverdale I wouldn’t consider hugging the Olympics. I see what you mean though.

I could definitely see that forecast being true for most of us near I-5 and eastward…but it’s pretty obvious that there will be a decent amount of snow out in kitsap tonight. Maybe I’m misunderstanding the meaning of hugging the Olympics….

So are you saying out near bremerton even on the kitsap peninsula would only get a dusting? That if anything seems like a pretty bold call.

D*mn shows more than the gfs did even. We will see though going to be interesting to see what model is most right. Have a hard time believing we get 1” or more IMBY.

Their probability maps are dumb. Says like 18% chance of 1” here. I’d rather they just put out an actual snow map forecast than some probability map…or no maps at all. Anything besides the probabilistic stuff

Lol now show us the kuchera

LAME! Lol good luck though tonight looks awesome out that way.

You might be in one of the better spots overall overnight in the Puget sound region. Your odds are definitely a bit higher than mine and much higher than places north and east of here.

For sure, it’s just entertaining to see how we still have no model agreement really 12 hours out. Speaks to how many things need to line up correctly for this to happen.

It’s definitely coming west of Highway 16 and Highway 3 on the peninsula. I really wouldn’t put much stock into this event here if the euro was showing nothing…but it’s been consistent showing 1/2-1” here. Most of the models do show atleast 1/2” here with the exception of a couple models. Even with the consensus of the models showing snow…I just ain’t buying it til I see it.

Was really windy up in snoqualmie at work today. Felt cold…but yet temps were in the mid 40s. Currently 47 here in Tacoma. If it does somehow manage to snow tonight into tomorrow morning it would be wild.

Sometimes radar is really misleading though. Temperatures currently are misleading for the potential this evening as well. I’m just going into this event with 0 expectations either way IMBY. No model really seems to have a handle on what’ll happen.

How’d the 06z euro look? Nice to see the run last night showing about an inch here. This mornings gfs showed 1.8”. So I definitely like our chances a bit more than 24 hours ago. Even with these good model runs it’s hard to say how this will go. So close to going either way. If the consensus on the models is too warm then could be great for a lot of people. 1 degree too cold…then most people east of the sound get nothin.

Yeah unfortunately closer to the foothills is not looking too good. Going to be very borderline at best here too further west. Gfs is definitely overdoing this but if we get even a little slush that would exceed my expectations for this right now.

That was a really good run of marginal snow events here. We had 5 decent wet snowfalls here from 11/29-12/4. The best one was the night of the 30th into the morning of the 1st when we got 2” here. We also had 1” on 12/4.

If the euro jumps on board with more than 0.2-0.4” of snow on the kuchera map then it’ll be getting interesting. Unfortunately the Canadian is not nearly as good looking. ICON shows nothing east of the sound either. Still no real consensus on anything it’s a very marginal complex situation.

Much more precipitation on this run is the big difference I think. More than double the QPF that was on the 18z.

Gfs definitely looks better even with the kuchera maps. Shows 2” here compared to 0.5” on the 18z

Yeah, it’s daunting as a gen-z guy trying to buy a home next year. Most people can’t even consider the option to own and can only rent. Many people my age live paycheck to paycheck that’s just life nowadays. Anyways…00z is runnin