TacomaWx

Oh yea I know, I wasn’t really talking about you and Andrew. I just see so many posts of people saying “Oregon is getting all the fun this winter” when it really hasn’t been that much better there this winter outside of one event. Putting the last 7 years into perspective as well it’s been much much better here too.

Lol yeah some people keep saying the lowlands in Oregon are having all the fun this winter. The January event was pretty decent for you guys but it’s not like you guys have had multiple big snow events and we’ve had nothing up this way.

lol relax hall monitor

Bizzare how much higher the snow line is compared to here. Snowline is like 200’ higher here I’d guess. Looks like it’s over 2000’ on Si.

You guys in Oregon seem to do pretty good with early spring snowfalls based on recent years. Your odds are probably a little higher than ours up this way…but I haven’t extensively looked into the models like I normally would. Just been checking the precip maps…925mb temps and surface temps here occasionally.

With several rounds of potential overnight precip coming the next few days I wouldn’t be surprised if atleast one night did work out for some people. Still a chance. For the most part though…the next few days the only people who are probably going to be scoring big are the typical favored spots.

Yeah, overall I didn’t really expect much last night. Maybe another night over the next few days will work out but I’d expect more of the same mostly. slightly too warm and not heavy enough precip. On my drive to work in snoqualmie this morning the only place I saw snow on the ground was tiger mountain. Even here at 900’ we’re just below the accumulating snowfall line.

If I hadn’t worked 12,12,12 and 14 hour shifts consecutively the last few days I might stay up streetlight watching lol. Way too exhausted though I’ll probably still do one or two slush checks!

Just got home from work. 34 degrees and rain/snow mix currently. Hasn’t been coming down too hard since I’ve been home but there was a bit of slush on my neighbors windshields.

Overall the radar looks more Impressive than it actually is though.

Snowing hard but not sticking yet in snoqualmie.

Yeah one big problem will be to get decent accumulation gotta have consistent precip. I’m sure some people will get hit by some heavy snow or mix showers…but hard to build up anything meaningful if it only lasts 20-30 minutes.

38 here in snoqualmie and 41 in Tacoma. Had a bunch of rain/snow mix here so far. Will probably see some snow up here if the precipitation moving in soon is as intense as it looks. All the snow from the previous events earlier this week has melted but definitely some snow on the hills around me. As for the potential for accumulating snow down below 500’ and near the sound the next couple days….i can see reasons to be skeptical. I’m sure some people probably will get some snow outside of the usual favored areas next couple days. Probably won’t be much though for people besides snowmizer and Tim ect.

It was snowing pretty hard when I went over at 445….but pretty quickly changed to rain once I started dropping down the other side.

Hit some heavy snow going over tiger mountain this morning. Rain/snow mix at 900’ here in snoqualmie but mostly rain. 38 degrees in Tacoma.

Nothing wrong with that either, and normally I am an optimist too. Atleast IMBY this looks iffy at best for now. My opinion IMBY doesn’t necessarily apply to what’ll happen in your neck of the woods. More so Puget sound. The mid February event I wasn’t hyped for either because it didn’t look promising here.

I am not saying 0% chance it snows here next week. Could happen…I don’t think there’s anything wrong with being skeptical about marginal snowfall chances though. I am not trying to be a Debbie downer I love snow. In the Seattle area, this isn’t really a solid guarantee coming up as usual with any snow event.

Yeah definitely. I didn’t mean to say that as a “gotcha” moment towards Chris. All I am saying is that there was healthy and reasonable skepticism for people on the I-5 corridor for that event. I don’t think anyone really thought it wouldn’t snow west of the sound it looked pretty solid over there leading up to this event. I think there’s good reason to be skeptical going into this potential event here in western Washington as well.

Your area and snowmizers area were never really in doubt for that event though. Looked pretty solid west of the sound for days in advance. Most people were just doubting snow for most of puget sound. That ended up being reality here besides near Olympia and a very slushy trace of snow here.

Atleast in recent years, these early/mid spring snowfall events seem to have favored some Oregon. 2012, 2020 and 2022 come to mind. We had about 1/2” here in March 2012.

Quite moist here in snoqualmie much different than 24 hours ago when it was snowing and 35 degrees. Looks like about 0.8” of rain/snowmelt here since midnight but the rain has really started to pick up in the last couple hours. Have discharged about 270,000 gallons of storm water here at my jobsite so far today and that’s just one of the 4 treatment sites.

It’s definitely never been a perfect science but a few years ago the euro was much more accurate than it used to be. It was significantly better than all the other models and didn’t have the “phantom coastal snowstorms” that show up almost every run.

Yeah I definitely get what he’s saying. I don’t think there’s anything wrong with people just wanting it to snow in their backyard either and not caring about the statistical side of things. Some people like you or I might find a 39/28 day in early March statistically interesting….but most folks would probably rather see it dump a couple inches of wet snow and melt later that day. I can see the appeal of both.

Hopefully it works out for most folks the potential is there. Like others said though….seems like the last couple winters the forecasting of snowfall especially in these marginal scenarios has gotten terrible. Gotta wait until 12-18 hours out and even then sometimes the agreement is horrible.

lol you say this like everyone’s voting on what’ll happen and that’ll actually influence the weather