Poulsbo Snowman

This run had a completely different solution from the 12Z regarding the Kona low--and it has significant impacts downstream.

You don't want to be in the North Pacific looking for crabs next week.

When I can understand him, he's brilliant. For me, though, there was a lot of doubletalk which I found extraordinarily confusing. That said, he's one smart dude--which may, in the end, be my problem, not his.

That is not good. Especially if that thing drifts east.

What's a bit discouraging is the 12Z Euro. I don't know what to believe at this point. I wonder what the Canadian says, eh. I'll have to look a bit later--heading to my son's basketball game, then bowling. By the time I get back to this, you guys will have this disected for me.

I'm going to be kind of sad that I'm not going to be able to see "The Interview" during our Christmas Day Snowstorm.

Lots to like in the midnite Euro. Off to bed. I can't do too much model riding at this point--but as I noted much earlier in this thread, I believe the set up for cold will occur on about the 27th or 28th--and I'm sticking to my guns on that That said, if it arrives earlier, that's all the better!

Me!!!!!! :wub:

It's cold here in Poulsbo. Currently 32 at my house.

This would be a little too cold for my tastes. I don't need single digit highs. Nevertheless, if it came with precipitation, I would take it!

Tommy Boy likeeee.

I love it when the pros come here with this kind of analysis. My only personal disagreement is with the last paragraph. I personally think it's more likely that the models are going to lock into some sort of arctic blast around Christmas--most likely around the 27th or 28th timeframe. As a sidenote, I think as upgrades are made to the GFS, we are going to find more instances of it making the early prognosis over the currently favored Euro--which is going to drive everyone crazy since they won't know which model to trust as time goes on.

It's goregous up there! Make sure you stop by the hat shop! Have fun!

I was a believer the entire time.

Winds blasting outside--highest gust 56 mph so far.

I'l It's coming. Just too far south right now. Give it 2 to 3 more hours. All hell is going to break loose for some of us--particularly those of us West of the Sound and in the North Sound.

Cyclogenesis has begun. Cloud tops are getting a lot colder.

It will.

I wonder if it snowed in Poulsbo.

I'm a buyer--especially if that low deepens significantly past 974. I'm proud of the GFS--it caught onto this more than a week ago!

i absolutely love "out of season" anomalies--that's part of what makes this an interesting hobby. Without speaking for others, I would enjoy a 65 degree day in January as much as I would enjoy 45 in July. Just gotta take things as they come since we can't control any of it.

Gonna be rather hot tomorrow for my tastes. Might as well live in Death Valley..

I'll take today's weather--although admittedly, Monday was glorious.

Yeah. That is a fish story if I've ever heard one.

Beautiful day here today. Partly cloudy, 68 degrees. If everyday was like this, I wouldn't cheer for the rain... Too bad for our friends near the mud slide. Hope things improve for them soon.