CentralNebWeather

03z SREF continues the better trend over much of the area.

Snow is west over me now. Interesting

Less snow in Nebraska on this run of the GFS.

01z Blend.

0z NAM

21z SREF to 87 hours. 10:1 ratio

18z Euro

NWS Hastings: Forecast models are in good agreement that we will get several blasts of cold air that will be the coldest air thus far this season. The first blast will be Thursday into Thursday night with temperatures possibly falling below zero. The secondary blast of cold air over the weekend of Jan 13-14 appears to be even colder and again could also bring some additional snow. Would not be surprised to see a very white landscape with overnight temperatures below zero and perhaps even daytime highs that struggle into the single digits by the Jan 14-15 time frame.

Whoa. Followed by Arctic Air.

That 15z SREF and NAM caught my attention for sure. We’ll see what the weekend models do.

NWS Blend.

15z SREF to 87 hours, 10:1 ratio.

18z NAM

12z Euro

NWS Hastings morning disco: latest European ensemble probabilities for air temps below zero are already 50-70% for N half of forecast area...and its STILL 7-8+ days away. This is a significant signal for a 50 member ensemble! Furthermore, there is general agreement with the GEFS and GEPS, and global circulations/teleconnections support an Arctic outbreak, as well. This could be potentially significant for livestock producers, the young and the elderly, pet, and particularly poorly insulated buildings...esp. if there is widespread and significant snowpack in place by then. Those sensitive to extreme cold will want to stay up to date on forecasts over the coming week.

That looks like it would potentially be a blizzard. We can dream. I will say it looks like a great setup for storminess. This would makeup for many bad winters a lot of people on this forum have had to endure. Cautiously waiting.

Fun to look at.

I would take 1/3 of what the models are throwing out with this run.

If only half of these storm amounts came true, we’d have quite a glacier around the center of the country. Gracious.

18z GFS with the storm train. My gosh.

We had a teacher work day today. Students start back tomorrow. A couple teachers asked me my thoughts on a snow day Monday. I told them there’s too much uncertainty. They have seen the apps that are saying “watching a potential winter storm”.

Just noticed that. NWS Hastings is monitoring, but still much uncertainty. Yep.

ICON at 120 hours

13z Blend