IbrChris

That's not gonna help the fires in the SE...unless it's warm and wet. I'm fine if 80+ waits until June but let's at least have a smattering of 70s between now and June. I'm not sure if I recall how to use my barbeque.

Given the location of Dallol fairly close to the equator a shorter POR is more representative of the climate than it would be for a mid-latitude location that experiences greater temp variability. IMO it's fairly valid assuming the data is accurate. Dallol however isn't a populated place. The hottest place in the world (uninhabited) is probably in the Afar Depression (near Dallol but slightly lower elevation...below sea level) which is likely a degree or so hotter for an annual average temp. The Dasht-e-Lut desert in SE Iran is often quoted as the spot that has recorded the highest "skin" (ground) temperature in the world as measured by satellite (172 F) but it's doubtful it has the highest annual mean temperature in the world.

Mecca, in Saudi Arabia, is by far the hottest decent-sized city in the world. Perhaps a small city might beat it although the UHI undoubtedly helps Mecca as well. According to Weatherbase for a 10 year POR Mecca averaged 298 days above 90 a year, the only months that 90s were less than 25 days on average were DJF. Annual dewpoint in Mecca averages 62 F with a low average of 56 in Feb and a high average of 68 in Sept making it a fairly humid locale given the regularity of 100+ temps. It's basically Phoenix without even a hint of winter, with more humidity and with a longer period where highs average 100+.

Completely depends on dewpoint. I find 80/65 more uncomfortable than 95/45. Hands down the summers are more pleasant in SE Idaho where dewpoints rarely get above about 55 (normally 35-45) versus Portland where dewpoints in the 60s are fairly common in summer (though not a daily occurrence) even though mean JJA highs are higher in ID than Portland. Low temps rarely remain above 55 in SE ID (45-50 normally) while Portland they average in the upper 50s in July/Aug.

Generally snark elicits a response in-kind. I can do snark as easy as anyone else on here.

Wouldn't expect you to understand how energy trading markets work...but as a bit of insight weather risk is assessed at farther ahead timescales than GOLU through the end of the TV met's 7 day forecast. It's ok if that makes no sense...your job doesn't depend on you understanding.

Probably but I haven't delved into it. Vendor forecasts for JJA based in part on analogs for this past winter/early spring along with expected trends in ENSO suggest coastal warmth with cool potential for the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes for JJA.

The general summer forecast that the vendors are settling on is one with warmth on either coast as well as down in TX while the Midwest/Great Lakes sees potential for cooler than normal temps during JJA. The main driver behind the forecast is expected ENSO trends toward warm neutral utilizing some late winter-spring analog years.

Yep also impressive chill in the PacNW especially interior valleys/basins.

Potential for storms again over the next 2-3 hours or so along the I-5 corridor at least from OLM to EUG as another negative-tilt shortwave swings through the region. Getting some sunbreaks similar to yesterday and although the boundary layer is a bit cooler vs yesterday mid-level temps are also cooler (500 mb cold pool overhead) which is allowing for slightly greater instability vs yesterday.

Yeah generally anything coming into California can deliver precip into Utah fairly easily. Systems tend to undergo cyclolysis in the western Great Basin but can restrengthen over Utah.

Not asking for much...just a couple days in the 70s in April. Of course some folks would prefer we not see 70 until July.

Yeah any ridging this time of the year is pretty transient...transient meaning generally no more than 3-5 days.

Sounds like a good primary pattern for a +PNA and finally some west-oriented warmth.

True...and the reason Price doesn't get in on spring precip as much is that even being 120 miles SE of Salt Lake City it is farther removed from a retreating jet (SLC's spring precip is mostly due to west-coast centric upper level troughs and impulses that move through that trough into the intermountain west). Price is also shadowed when it comes to W or NW flow. On the other hand Price fares well in with the SW monsoonal convective regime (S-SE flow). SLC on the other hand often has a drier summertime boundary layer as well as being displaced farther from the heart of the SW monsoon. You can basically draw a line along the spine of the Wasatch from about I-80 southward to I-70. Areas west of that line generally have a spring precip peak and areas east of that line generally have a mid-late summer precip peak. Of course the higher elevations generally see a wintertime peak with orographic enhancement of mid-latitude systems. South of I-70 you get into more of a summertime peak in the valleys at least both across SW Utah and the Lake Powell/San Juan area (though the lower deserts around St George often see a winter peak for a more bimodal precip pattern).

If you wanna see something cool select Southwest then after seeing the visible image go to mid-level WV (water vapor) for same region. Notice all the mtn waves over the Great Basin (esp E Nevada) that visible and IR don't pick up because they don't reach saturation at the crest of the wave (no cloud formed). I think this is the first time we've had the resolution to show these individual micro-scale features on a satellite image (when they aren't denoted by clouds).

Great find! Been looking for a dedicated page for real-time GOES-16 imagery

Plenty of mets both at NWS and in private sector in the $75,000 to $125,000 range. It's a typical mid to late career salary. Entry level is generally $50,000 or so.

It would be better to examine mean daily precip data and determine the wettest Julian day based on a 30-day rolling average...then plot on a map based on what month that day falls in. You would lose a lot of the "noise".

You'll notice in a lot of the "noisy" areas there's not really a clear "wettest" month because the 2 or more wettest are very close to each other. Thus in City A March might be wettest based on its period of record but in City B a few miles away April might be wettest. Or February. But if we look at the cities we might see a Feb-April breakdown like this: City A: 3.1, 3.2, 3.1. City B: 3.2, 3.1, 3.1. In areas that get a lot of hit and miss "airmass" convection like the SE the averages especially if over a shorter time period might be skewed more by individual events than representative of actual climatic normals.

Few more warm GFS runs in the 11-15...let's see if the ensembles jump on board a bit more today. Drier looks like a good bet and this time of year drier usually equates to warmer.

12z GFS was nice though. Ensembles were "meh" but suggestive of nicer weather in the longer range. Maybe a decent Easter too with good potential to be the warmest day of the year thus far.

Without a doubt if we were attacked and I had the physical ability to serve (was healthy, young enough etc) I would enlist. I disagree with our adventurism overseas, regime-change etc so I can't in good conscience serve at present...nor would I advise my son or daughter to join if the status quo remains unchanged 15 years from now.

Same here...I generally don't do well with "just do as you're told and don't question it."

Cool...I'm not dogging on you. I was kinda an a$$ in my earlier comment, sorry. That's commendable. What are you studying?