snow_wizard

Not out of the question, but not likely either. I should mention the WRF hints at a possible C-Zone in King County tomorrow morning with 1000 foot temps undoubtedly cold enough for snow. Given the convergence and the renewed cold atmosphere it's worth mentioning at least.

The ensemble mean now shows Monday dropping to -9 on the 850s. There is also a mean of -7 showing up late next week now. Truly impressive cold snap overall.

Early March has actually had more major snows than late Feb believe it or not. Certainly not too late. The thing late next week is an entirely different animal. We'll just have to wait and see how things shape up with that.

The 4km WRF shows the air mass being cold enough for snow in this area again by 7am tomorrow after a brief period of being too warm later tonight. Pretty unusual stuff. It also indicates two periods during the weekend where convergence will set up over King County.

The first sentence seems like a total guess to me. Sunday night has a legit shot at snow. The thing late next week is way too complex to make any calls on at all.

Let's see how the next 10 days play out. January was an F- so that is hard to overcome. December was a solid A-, and February is looking B+ right now. Amazing for this cold snap, but still not enough snow.

Well it appears I was wrong about how this would play out. We've been on a bit of a roll so I thought I would go with it. Still managed to pull out a couple tenths of snow here. Right now Sunday night and late next week look very interesting. The thing late next week has enormous potential. The GFS has decent lowland snow on every run with that.

The big news right now is the ECMWF temps were too warm for this time. It has decent precip this evening so that's a big deal. Already a fresh layer of white on the ground here.

The temp just dropped another .5 in the last few minutes...34 now.

The 7 was always a bit over the top I thought. Sunday evening looks potentially very interesting right now also.

I'm glad there are people on here to tell me to not be excited about the snow coming down!

Snowing pretty heavy now with vis starting to drop.

Amazing how dry the snow is in spite of being a bit above freezing still. Looks like the main event is just approaching Mason County now.

Ok.

My month to date average dropped below 40 today after being around 7 above normal for the first third.

Snowing and sticking here. After a brief spike to 38 the temp has dropped back to 35. Latest models suggest it stays snow until late evening at least.

How can anyone look at that coastal radar and say we're not going to score well? There is a southerly push crossing the overall ESE ward movement. I've seen this before.

I'm pretty confident but we'll see. I know this stuff pretty well.

You're north of the good dynamics now.

Just a rough guess, but I wouldn't be surprised to see King County get a couple of inches.

Not for long. People need to look really close at that coastal radar. Shear.

This is beginning to look potentially serious now. Major slug of precip moving inland now.

If we can get January back we will be just fine. The other months have been doing ok as of late. I'm hoping the VERY low solar next winter can help us.

The temp has stopped rising at a "toasty" 32.7. This will be the coldest day of the event here. Who would have thought....

I'm not sure Mark Nelson is right about Portland. Radar shows snow almost right up to the coast ad in some cases a bit off the coast.