snow_wizard

Let's just wait and see. We will have WSW flow at the 850mb level like we did on Wednesday. For some reason the models seem to not think that's a big deal.

The WRF continues to be frustratingly dry today. Makes no sense (high bust potential). It does look promising for snow showers later Sunday though.

Given the fact the models usually scour cold air out too quickly I like where we are at right now.

With that low in play now anything is possible. Amazingly the GFS tracks the low straight westward after it gets just north of us and it never really warms up behind the low. The ICON brings a Canadian air mass right to the border around the same time.

Talk about perfect timing! Clear all night and then rapidly thickening clouds during the day. Not going to get very warm today.

Yup. March 1989 was a thing of beauty. Widespread 8 to 12 inch accumulations.

That pattern late next week is full of huge potential. If you take a blend of the ICON and GFS things get really interesting.

If the track of that low around hour 156 can shift east a couple of degree many areas would get blasted with snow. As it is many still score.

I think we should just be grateful it's not 3 weeks later. This part of the winter is still capable of good things.

For sure. The cold is deep too.

I'm thinking Bellingham will be ok temp wise. In spite of some sudden warming they have a very low dp. SE winds are amazingly powerful at raising temps in Bellingham.

Major snow threat around day 6/ 7 on the GFS. A low comes up from the SW. Huge potential with that.

I've noticed straight south winds have a very hard time getting into my area. I'm having a hard time understanding why the GFS is so light with precip amounts though. It's not like we have a moisture killing east going. We will also have WSW flow at the 850mb level to hook the moisture around the Olympics.

The GFS seems to have shifted the screw hole south of the Central Puget Sound over the next week. Not really buying the south Sound getting nothing either.

Dropped to a bone chilling 19 here this morning. I have to tip my hat to the cold aspect of this event. Still need more snow and might get it. Thew NWS seems very confident about today's prospects and then snow showers on Sunday night in spite of the models being so stingy with precip.

Way too pessimistic here. The snow level goes below 500 a number of times.

SEA has already tied the record low for the 23rd as of midnight. They broke the record yesterday by 4 degrees.

SEA broke the record low of 30 on 2/22 when the temp dropped to 26. SEA has already tied the record for 2/23 with a temperature of 27 at midnight.

That time frame is something to watch IMO.

Down to 23 here now. This could be the coldest I've ever seen it this early in the night so late in the season. It was probably close in 2011 and maybe early Mar 1989.

I'm betting your time is coming. I can't imagine you not scoring with this pattern coming up.

The ECMWF snowfall maps for the next 10 days are way better for Seattle than the 12z.

I've been looking at that period for a couple of days now. Some potential for an amplification of the 150 block for a time.

This cold snap is kind of a beast for this late in the season. Currently 26 here. My coldest reading this early in the evening for the entire winter.

The GFS operational and ensemble mean show 850s dropping to -8 around the 26 / 27 time frame now. Sure snow territory if there is moisture around during that.