snow_wizard

Looks like something a bit better showing up over Mason County now. Could reach as far north as Seattle. The radar over King County is starting to show backfilling and other various tricks going on.

Certainly possible. This is probably 15 to 1 snow. I have a heavy dusting now and still snowing lightly. Thank god this was cold enough to stick in spite of being so light.

The radar shows precip type as snow up to about 50 miles off shore. Looks like the low center is just North of Westport not too far out. Hopefully the SW flow ahead of that will push some more moisture into the Seattle area.

That big blob of moisture that just moved onshore may be our best shot at something better in a couple of hours.

For sure. I put up a 35 / 22 today. Not too D**n shabby. Too bad SEA missed their record by one degree, but they should have tomorrow's in the bag.

Just enough snow to make it look like winter out there now and still snowing lightly. Down to 30 degrees. Impressively cold for sure.

The snow is pretty light but steady here. Small dry flakes.

That would be something!

Some interesting dynamics at play with this. Some shear between the 850 and 700mb levels and the current S winds set up convergence potential later as the low drops south. You never know in a case like this.

The snow is beginning to stick to the black cover on my BBQ now. We are in full stick mode! Temp is 31 degrees.

They have a winter weather advisory for Tacoma now.

Some of that is bleeding southward now.

The NWS has a much snowier forecast for ESPL for the end of the week. Just saying categorical snow in the afternoon. After that snow level varying from 100 to 1000 feet during the weekend.

The WRF shows WSW flow the 850mb level and NNW flow at the 700mb level. King County could benefit from that shear. At least the ground will be white to some degree in the morning. The snow is slowly picking up again and everything has stuck thank god.

King County is filling in from the north and the SW. The ICON might be the right solution.

The flow is supposed to become increasingly northerly so that might make it move.

Really odd. The radar shows it should have stopped snowing several minutes and yet it's still going at a fair clip. Looks like some more filling in toward Tacoma.

Just below freezing at 3pm in late Feb. Not too shabby. I still have some light snow falling and a dusting on the ground. I'm not real sure how the evening part of this thing will work out. It appears what I have gotten so far is separate form the main event.

I think both places scoring is quite possible. Snow is just starting here!

And the air mass is currently getting colder. I could get used to this really quick.

Total snow sky here now with a temp of 33. With the dp so low I expect everything will stick. I'm glad the timing of this is well past peak sun strength.

No sign of the East side being left out on the current radar. Even though it's only virga so far an east wind problem would show up with that.

I'm really liking our chances with this moisture is already hooking around the south end of the Olympics. The ICON has consistently shown south King County doing well with this. We shall see.

I've seen cases where the very high res models actually over think things too much. I think it's a toss up between the 4km and 12km in the WRF for instance. I've seen both perform better than the other.

I'm thinking the timing on the NAM looks too fast. The ECMWF was a few hours slower.