TT-SEA

I have heard several people say that recently.

Looking forward to some rain. And maybe an unexpectedly decent weekend.

OK. All loose. Now what?

Tracking actually weather on a weather forum. Sorry about that.

Weekend continues to trend better for WA and BC at least. The ULL that was supposed move right over Seattle is now shown to move in north of Sacramento. Since when do ULLs trend south? http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017060800/gfs_z500aNorm_namer_15.png Sunday looks pretty nice now as well... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017060800/gfs_mslp_pcpn_nwus_16.png http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017060800/gfs_T2ma_nwus_17.png

We have been telling you that for years.

This is true for the entire West Coast actually.

Breaks apart though... that is probably typical behavior in the summer. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017060718/gfs_z500aNorm_namer_43.png http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017060718/gfs_z500aNorm_namer_51.png

Much harder to forecast.

I sense that coming for the Puget Sound region.

I used to like orange. Now I am developing an aversion to that color.

I remember it did stand out in July. August blurred the lines with a regionally warm pattern.

Sunday looks the same as Saturday on the GFS. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017060712/gfs_T2ma_nwus_19.png

I understand that... and we saw this last summer as well with regionally cool and troughy patterns still resulting in normal or slightly above normal temps around the Puget Sound region.

Just OLM??

The Seattle warm bubble shows up nicely on the 12Z GFS on Saturday despite being in a deep trough with chilly 850mb temps. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017060712/gfs_T2ma_nwus_15.png

Ahhh Phil... that is me not Jared.

When he was younger, my snow-loving son would often look up there during the winter when it was covered in snow and tell me that someday he was going to build a house up there. He would get so frustrated that he could see so much snow so close but not always have the same in our backyard.

We posted simultaneously. Yes it is. That is part of why we have to manage the forest. I believe our development was grandfathered in before it was built out... but the entire area from Issaquah to Ellensburg is basically protected. They do not even allow billboards along I-90 which would negatively impact the views. I love that.

It would likely be an infrastructure nightmare and not feasible... but legally it cannot happen even if someone had the financial means to do so thanks to the Mountains-to-Sound Greenway Trust. http://mtsgreenway.org/

I am pretty sure that water has always drained off our ridge fairly well and the valley locations typically have more soil moisture. Seems pretty logical looking at our topography. Side note... our HOA is legally responsible for forest management in our development and 80% of the land area has to be in its natural state. That is probably better than the clear cutting mess that occurred for the previous 150 years here.

Low soil moisture levels are pretty typical here in the summer... so maybe this is normal and wet soil conditions would artificially depress temperatures.

Lots of things are in flux obviously so the details are probably going to change a few times... including the timing.

By microclimates... most definitely.

Still a clear ridge shown building... here is day 7 on the 12Z EPS: And then day 10: