TT-SEA

SEA is at +0.6 for the month now. WFO SEA is also at +0.6 and Bellingham is at +1.3 OLM is at -0.8 So the same phenomenon is occurring in August where the stations in the Puget Sound region are warmer than places to the south. I am assuming places like Victoria and Vancouver BC are also warmer than normal. Different month... different pattern... same result in Western WA.

Run of the mill +12 at SEA today. Nothing compared to our cold departure days.

Lots of marine layer days though.

Next weekend starting to look very warm.

Maybe just briefly but still well on our way to a cold August.

Still... it's impressive.

Looks unbelievably frigid in the Midwest! Extremely cold. First snow for Minnesota?? Boy they will love that pattern in the winter. We are screwed. I think it's all locked in now. Thanks for the detailed maps... always appreciated.

Not so sure about a sharp cool down... this is very much like how the models trended for this weekend as well. Time will tell as usual.

12Z ECMWF is also much warmer and more progressive.

And suddenly the weather model maps section is missing from the wundermap site. If they really took it down then I am going to have to spend some money. I need access to ECMWF surface maps!

12Z Canadian is just ridgy right through day 10. Might be ahead of the other models again. Looking good.

12Z GFS is quite different for later this coming week and weekend compared to its 00Z run. Looks a little warmer and less dynamic. Feels sort of like what happened with the trough that was supposed to be descending on us this weekend.

This weekend looked like it was going to feature a huge crash last weekend.

SEA is going above normal today for August... took 3 days to wipe out the cold anomalies for the first third of the month.

This.

18Z GFS is very nice. Looks like some great weather ahead.

Indeed. Our usual strong offshore gradients and east wind we have all summer will be missing.

12Z ECMWF is perfect... no extreme heat. Just pleasant with good mixing and changing of air masses.

Nor will you see that with the upcoming warm spell. July is over dummy. And there is probably nothing to interesting coming up.

I must be thinking that Ninos are better at producing early arctic intrusions then.

Well... a strong Nino pulled off a cool September last year. I certainly liked that month.

Sure would like to avoid extreme heat next week. Moderate warmth is much more sustainable.

All the time. I always post. Unlike you. And it probably won't happen until I am excited to see below normal weather in mid-October. Nina falls usually get off to a slow start. The opposite of Ninos.

July is over dummy. Already said it's been cool. That will be erased in the monthly departures soon.

06Z GFS was pretty warm for later next week like the 00Z ECMWF. Although the 06Z GFS ensemble members look more like the ECMWF ensemble mean.