TT-SEA

Good southerly winds on the 00Z ECMWF on Monday throughout Western WA with 850mb temp around -1C. I don't want to debate... look at the detailed Wundermap site for details. There is no way that is snow on Monday on that run.

Yeah... I see it on the Puyallup traffic cams now. Amazing. The swamp beat out my location. Love it! Assuming too much offshore flow here. From Covington northward there is nothing.

Wow. Impressive. Did not think any of it was accumulating. Nothing here... just a couple scattered snowflakes.

I show bad news when it shows up and applies. Whatever. I will ignore bad and post only good news. That seems objective. I sat here all day enjoying the snow event to the south and loved watching everyone down there having fun... while others up here were bitching and moaning about being missed out. And happily reported when the new ECMWF improved with precip amounts for Saturday!

No images are showing up Paul.

Too much work. I am tired of you guys jumping all over me if the models show something unfavorable. In case you have not noticed... I post most everything. Good or bad. It is what it is.

Can't win. If its not favorable then everyone attacks the models and the messenger. I am guessing alcohol is also involved tonight which it not a fair fight since I am not drinking.

Mainly on Saturday morning correct?

Good news! 00Z ECMWF shows solid area of precip for the Seattle area all day on Saturday. And its still cold enough for snow. There you go! We might still score before the warm up begins.

Then why look at them at all? Like I said... don't look at any of it. It will be snowing for the next week in Seattle. All is good.

Amazing. Absolutely amazing event for Oregon and SW WA.

OK... that is like the Gorge in way. Stays cold forever.

I will be here all of next week enjoying the rain with everyone else. And I will enjoy the rain... we need it. And more mountain snow.

I give up. I guess people don't like actual details of the models. Clearly I need to pretend to protect people not near the Gorge (where it should be cold until Monday morning). Its all good. Cold air will be locked in place and definitely will not moderate. Snow and very cold in Seattle until the middle of next week.

The ECMWF is the same. All the models show a moderating air mass through Monday. ECMWF and GFS and Canadian and WRF are all too warm for lowland snow except near the Gorge and to the north of Everett by Sunday and for everyone on Monday. Saturday is our best chance.

GFS output.

Sure would!

Sunday afternoon... temp is in the low 40s and dewpoint in the low 30s. Probably not good enough.

SEA: 850mb temp / thickness Now: -11C and 521 Friday 4 p.m. -7 and 521 Saturday 4 p.m. -5 and 532 Sunday 4 p.m. -1 and 535 Monday 4 p.m. +1 and 540

Everyone will.

No... its actually warmed up for Sunday since yesterday.

All right... it will snow all weekend at SEA and next week as well. That is my forecast. GFS MOS has 40 on Saturday and 44 on Sunday at SEA. And 47 on Monday. But because the last couple days were colder than anticipated... then it will of course be wrong forever. And so wrong that it will be snowing like crazy on Monday in Seattle!

How is it bipolar to be realistic?? This stuff drives me nuts... we just pretend that its not way too warm to snow on Monday? Ignore all the models? Portland had an awesome event and may not be done. But that does not mean we just sugar-coat Monday up here.

Starting Monday it turns quite rainy... and getting warm to the south. Here is Wednesday: http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_extended/images_d2/slp.144.0000.gif

Snow through Sunday afternoon... some of this is falling now in the mountains. http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_extended/images_d2/ww_snow72.72.0000.gif Snow from 4 p.m. Sunday through 4 p.m. Monday: http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_extended/images_d2/snow24.96.0000.gif Not even close.