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Deweydog

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Everything posted by Deweydog

  1. Definitely not saying it's likely, in fact I highly doubt it is. But there are a laundry list of excellent analogs for that exact progression. As for the run to run volatility, we are talking about 7+ days here.
  2. What's strange about it? It's about as run-of-the-mill west coast retrogression as you can get.
  3. If you ignore the cut off low off the California coast, hour 384 is an absolutely classic retrogression set up. #20dayGFS!
  4. I haven't had Frosted Miniwheats in years! I did have a shitload of snow 11 months ago though...
  5. Yeah, I don't see it. The pattern evolutions over most of the past year have been remarkably predictable, practically speaking. I reckon that'll continue.
  6. Ah. Obviously it's not as simple as we would like to think. I think it's certainly good for pause for thought when our single greatest winter positive anomaly (by a long shot) has occurred in what, at best, was a very weak +ENSO event. Especially during what is presumed to be the midst of a negative phase.
  7. I think he's looking for a more worldly explanation. And amplify? If anything, the PDO in years where the summer numbers spike high/low tend to snap back toward zero during the cold season more often than not.
  8. I think his snow-starved, frosted-side of the Kelloggs Frosted Miniwheats, inner-weenie was doing the talking.
  9. We actually had a teency bit here earlier this morning. Coast to coast!
  10. It started on December 21st, silly guy goose! edit: Oh, I get it! That's a pretty good spoof!
  11. Just a bit more positivity for your life about last month's reading. It's actually the highest winter reading in the last 114 years by quite a margin. Unbelievable how everything can be lined up perfectly yet we still get farked in the oos!
  12. Yeah... then nothing, save for a nice against the grain brief event down here late in the month. Regardless of how some people think we're currently getting "fooked in the a$$" a few years from now people will be able to put some perspective on it and realize we had three (at least) decent cold snaps. We can do a lot worse.
  13. Been 30 years since 2009-2010? We'll have to go to the booth with that one.
  14. Stop looking at point forecasts. Problem solved.
  15. There's 17 days left in the month for crying out loud. You know better than that.
  16. Upon your death, I really hope your brain is donated for scientific research.
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