dairyd

It is colder now (26) than when the snow arrived (27) at midnight. WRF and Seattle office has us at 35 by now lol. Wind is still NE at 10-15.

Temp topped out at 29, just dropped to 25 as the winds are really starting to howl. Trees are beginning to lose limbs in the gusts now. If the storm overruns this wind, it's blizzard conditions. -17mb cywl-bli-pressures now.

Only thing they have right is the wind advisory. It is howling right now...-16mb cywl-bli diff. Non-urban temps are still in the low 20's. EC's forecast wants up to 6" through Sat but it is just going to drift. If NWS was doing its public duty they would be issuing a blizzard warning for the north county as EC just did.

Groundhog day storm 1989 we had 1F in Everson with 70-80mph winds. That's close.

Outlying areas in North Whatcom are much colder than reported on the weather stations. I had 27/17 last night with 27/45 wind. wind dropped to 20-30 today but expected to pick up tonight into tomorrow according to EC. I expect at least 15 or 16 for the low tonight with the lower dew point. With the stronger outflow ahead of the winds and higher gradients the colder air always lasts longer than what NWS says. That's when we rely on EC's forecasts since they seem to pay more attention to the Fraser's conditions/nuances than the Seattle NWS. They don't give a sH** about north whatcom.

I don't think it broke over the upper 20's here today. All of the water spots have the sublimation look with wind speeds near 20mph most of the day with higher gusts and we usually don't get the sublimation look until the 20's. So the forecast low is 22 but that may depend on wind speed. Interesting language EC has posted for this week's weather, always quite a bit different than the comedy club that is the seattle WS: 3:37 PM PST Tuesday 06 December 2016 Special weather statement in effect for: Fraser Valley - east including ChilliwackFraser Valley - west including AbbotsfordMore snow on the way for the South Coast and Vancouver Island... An intense Pacific storm will reach the South Coast and Vancouver Island Thursday afternoon. With the cold air already in place, this system will likely bring significant snowfall to the South Coast from late Thursday afternoon through to Friday morning. Strong winds are also expected with this storm. By late Friday morning there is the potential for the snow at low elevations near the water to change over to rain, however areas at higher elevations or inland will remain as snow. Mixed precipitation is expected to continue through the weekend although the amounts will be less than Thursday night. With no significant warming trend in sight, the new snow will likely remain on the ground for several days. As the storm details more become clear, this special weather statement will be updated and may be upgraded to a weather warning.

There's definitely an outflow, wind has been creeping up all afternoon. Just got in from the wind field, A steady 10-15 not super gusty yet but reading the stations up the valley it looks like it is spooling up. I see the pressure is starting to climb again in cywl. I was hoping for a calm night.

Only if you come out here in that stuff and help me keep the water troughs and tractors thawed out for the livestock

Winds not at blizzard levels on Monday but they kick up on Tuesday. Looks like enough snow (4-6) to push around to make a mess of things. Could get interesting up here for a few days.

Everson Goshen road is the devils road for this sort of weather. December 1996, day after Christmas I left with my dad to drive to Florida for grad school. It started snowing and blowing hard. All the passes were closed across the cascades and rockies so we had to go the ultra long way through LA. There were 15' drifts in the county the day after we left. A barn burned down north of Lynden because fire trucks couldn't get out. I was in 4WD all the way through Tacoma. I5 was not plowed, there were mounds of snow on the road, 2' moguls if you will, abandoned cars everywhere. I just don't get why everyone on here wants this stuff. It's a real PIA to work/travel in, particularly with animals. And life-threatening.

That's 1989 cold. We had 1F and 75mph winds (measured with our wind gauge at the time). Power was out for a week. Everything froze including all of the diesel gelling up in the fuel lines that powered the generators even with fuel conditioner. Then the overrun storm created ice about 4" thick, transformers and lines popping looked like 4th of july in the night sky. All the newbies that moved into the area won't know how to deal with that kind of cold if the wind comes with it.

Looks like Fraser outflow kicks up Sunday night and peaking Tuesday. Maybe down to a low of 20 with that wind. Ugh.

That is very helpful, thanks. On Saturday, 11/20 we had a 10-15 mph NNE wind with gusts to 20 on about a -5 mb pressure gradient. It doesn't take a lot to push the air out, particularly if there is a low to the SW, which is why I am suspect of the system this coming weekend with the weak ridge building in the BC interior and the lows hugging the coast pulling the modified arctic air through the canyon and ongoing into the following week with stronger arctic ridges. It is the classic setup we can get here. Does everyone believe the cold air is coming down later this week? Temps seem to move around some on the southern periphery but seem to consistently spill out to western WA next week with parts of EWA in the teens by next week.

Newbie here. Quick question, been following the arctic air breakout forecast. I live in the Fraser outflow area north of Bellingham (Everson). What gradients do you look for to develop the harsh NNE winds? I see the patterns start developing in the models but am wondering what the ranges/cutoffs are for the really big winds so I can prepare the farm and animals. That and I want to just get mentally prepped if there are big gradients/winds and temps in the teens coming (like it appears for the 5-6th). It can be a different weather zone in the north whatcom county when we have the outflow going, and most of the forecasts don't really factor it in until it is on top of us and the Canadians don't seem to forecast out much past 3-5 days. Thanks.