Not surprising, last I checked this wasn't a forum full of NWS meteorologists... Everyone just needs to settle down and swallow their pride. If you were good at this, you'd be doing it for a living. Half of the things people say in here are wish casting, and that's ok! just accept the fact that that's all it is, and don't act like you can predict the weather. Hell even the professionals are wrong, a lot of the time.