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Posts
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Everything posted by Phil
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That monster -NAO juxtaposed over a high wavenumber regime just locks the GOA trough in place on the 00z ECMWF. Until wavelengths increase after October 20th, that GOA vortex isn't going anywhere. The GOA vortex should bifurcate and/or retrograde between October 20th and October 25th, IMO. Once this happens, it'll set the stage for a trend towards NPAC blocking in November.
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About the fact that your ulterior motive has always been to upset Jim, Jesse, and anyone who enjoys colder than average weather. At least that's what it looks like to me. Almost like you're being intentionally transparent so everyone knows it while giving yourself enough room to wiggle away in the process, driving your critics over the edge of sanity while you sit back and laugh. That about right?
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Definitely not entering the Gulf. At least not for the next week and not as a hurricane.
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I'm focused on SE GA/Saint Simons. As long as it misses that area, I can relax. Most of my happiest memories took place around there. Probably more of a home to my heart than DC. As for Matthew, given the double eyewall, the wobbles of the inner eyewall can be deceptive. The storm as a whole continues to wobble on a heading between NW and NNW.