Phil

This run effing sucks..most of the country in the upper 90s/100s right into early/mid September. Vibes of 2015.

But, there's no W/NW flow coming!! The models are all wrong because...? Bastardi/Mark Nelsen et al 2016?

Yes, there is W/NW flow coming, and you'll be sitting right in the middle of it. Enjoy the cool weather! I'll be watching in envy (seriously).

It's actually only warm for 2 days @ 850mb despite the SW flow. Troughing resumes thereafter quite swiftly.

FYP. Cheesy, but accurate.

Northwesterly flow will work fine, actually. There's nothing wrong with the pattern unless you're hugging the CFSv2.

Yeah, would be the second time this summer they've listed a perfectly "normal" day as +1. Seriously, who the hell is calculating this s**t?

They miscalculate those departures so frequently I stopped keeping track. Ridiculous.

I think he's just obsessed with heat.

The CFSv2 is going to bust in September.

A cool period will initiate during the week of 8/28 to 9/4. Actually, about 30/51 members are cooler than average in the day 6-10 day range, and 35/51 members are cooler than average in the day 11-15 range.

Clown range 18z GFS

So, is summer REALLY over this time? Almost out of time by mid/late September.

Yeah, EPS still has the dominant trough position in the west. Just a lot of spread in the long range. Pattern is similar overall.

Did the ECMWF just cave to the GFS? Lmao.

Yeah, variations in the Arctic sea ice extent have essentially zero observable influence on the equator-pole thermal gradient.

Seems like no matter how the pattern changes, that SE ridge is just anchored there. Wonder if that'll be a trend going forward into/through the fall.

Ouch. Everyone is basically acclimated to the humidity at this point. I'm actually in Sarasota, FL, but feels basically the same as DC. If anything it's a bit cooler/less disgusting during the day, maybe a bit warmer/muggier at night.

Yeah.. How do you North Benders go about things on your last weekend before classes start?

We're sitting around a bonfire doing nothing. I'm literally bored out of my mind.

Yeah, it's fading/setting up closer to 120E. The entire process is occurring more slowly than I was thinking a week ago, but it's occurring nonetheless. For once, I was too fast instead of too slow.

Uh oh.

Did you miss your meds or something?

What? How so? You're literally making no sense right now.

Has this guy (GHChris) always been such a d*uchebag?