Jump to content

Hawkeye

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    7166

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    17

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Hawkeye

  1. Hawkeye
    12z UK... Clearly, still some large differences between the models. Some have the heavier stuff in far north and south Iowa, with a dry hole in between, while the UK is the inverse.
  2. Hawkeye
    12z Canadian is much better for Iowa, strongly disagreeing with the dry moat through sw/central Iowa.
  3. Hawkeye
    12z FV3 is terrible.... worst run so far, huge dry moat across Iowa,
  4. Hawkeye
    So far this morning, every model has been a step back for Cedar Rapids. We may have to settle for 0.25-0.35" qpf.
  5. Hawkeye
    Initial impression of the ICON is not good at all.... just keeps shooting the system through more quickly, now has the initial fgen band way up in far northern Iowa.
  6. Hawkeye
    This is why you can't lock in any nam run. It's just too inconsistent. The 12z is a big step back for central Iowa. While central to sw Iowa goes from wet pocket to dry pocket, far southeast Iowa into northern Illinois goes from dry to wet. It's impossible to buy it when it fluctuates so wildy.
  7. Hawkeye
    We are not seeing any precip at all in Cedar Rapids.
  8. Hawkeye
    00z UK... obviously, I'd love this
  9. Hawkeye
    00z FV3.... not much change
  10. Hawkeye
    The Canadian is the only model that shows the initial band of snow streaking through central Iowa rather than northern Iowa.
  11. Hawkeye
    The GFS is why I don't buy the NAM.
  12. Hawkeye
    00z ICON.... still has the big moat.
  13. Hawkeye
    Des Moines NWS mentioned in their afternoon discussion that the northern Iowa band of snow should have pretty high ratios.
  14. Hawkeye
    The NAM is fantastic. However, I still need to see other models join it. It's a bad idea to jump on a couple wet nam runs just because they are good for my yard. The 3k nam shows a very heavy band lifting from southern Iowa up through Cedar Rapids. I don't buy it.
  15. Hawkeye
    Euro had two straight runs with a blizzard next week for the western lakes. This morning's run, nada... just a weaker system passing south.
  16. Hawkeye
    Multiple models are spitting out 0.60+" qpf in that band streaking through northern Iowa. With good ratios, that's a darn good storm. We just need that to edge south a bit.
  17. Hawkeye
    12z UK
  18. Hawkeye
    12z Canadian... farther south with the northern wave than other models.
  19. Hawkeye
    12z FV3 is a bit of an improvement as well. The moat has filled in some.
  20. Hawkeye
    A couple of these models are quite far north with that initial wave.
  21. Hawkeye
    LOL. Some of the snow maps being spit out by the models are amusingly patchy.
  22. Hawkeye
    Well, the models are still suggesting there could be a pretty nice band of snow somewhere in Iowa. Each model streaks that initial band out across Iowa a bit differently, some north of CR, some over CR. 3-6" is still possible. Heck, the new ICON spits out 0.75" in Waterloo... likely overdone, but.
  23. Hawkeye
    00z UK
  24. Hawkeye
    I noticed that, too. There has been a lot of talk about a super cold NFL game on Sunday in KC, with a high temp in the single digits. However, this evening's 00z GFS run has the temp in the 20s.
  25. Hawkeye
    Yeah, that seems to be the trend. It's like the energy moves into the west and then falls into a hole.
×
×
  • Create New...