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jaster220

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jaster220 last won the day on November 26 2021

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  1. #1 & #2 back-2-back a century ago. MEGA OUCH! for any snow enthusiasts back then. As the old saying goes "it can always be worse"
  2. My last WWA Friday was a big bust here. Nothing coming at me from that direction can excite, lol.
  3. Eyeballing 0.7" of fresh snow cover this am. Was still falling decently when I awoke to the brightness of whitened ground. Was thinking about how frequently it has been snowing (and just as quickly melting off). I would be pretty happy to have had a pattern like this back in December. But NO! gotta have it now when most are long over "winter". More than double the avg March snowfall already at DTW with nary a single day with a high temp at or below freezing. CF6DTW PRELIMINARY LOCAL CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA (WS FORM: F-6) STATION: DETROIT MI MONTH: MARCH YEAR: 2023 LATITUDE: 42 13 N LONGITUDE: 83 20 W TEMPERATURE IN F: :PCPN: SNOW: WIND :SUNSHINE: SKY :PK WND ================================================================================ 1 2 3 4 5 6A 6B 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 12Z AVG MX 2MIN DY MAX MIN AVG DEP HDD CDD WTR SNW DPTH SPD SPD DIR MIN PSBL S-S WX SPD DR ================================================================================ 1 53 34 44 12 21 0 0.00 0.0 0 4.6 14 80 M M 7 18 21 100 2 43 32 38 6 27 0 0.00 0.0 0 7.2 16 310 M M 10 18 23 320 3 37 31 34 1 31 0 1.11 6.2 0 12.7 29 50 M M 10 12389 44 50 4 41 31 36 3 29 0 0.01 T 5 10.4 22 320 M M 7 18 34 330 5 50 35 43 10 22 0 T 0.0 3 5.7 15 270 M M 4 18 23 270 6 45 34 40 6 25 0 0.48 0.2 1 10.4 17 50 M M 10 18 24 80 7 43 30 37 3 28 0 0.13 1.4 1 11.8 22 40 M M 4 1 29 50 8 45 28 37 3 28 0 0.00 0.0 T 9.6 21 20 M M 5 26 30 9 45 28 37 2 28 0 0.00 0.0 T 7.4 16 60 M M 10 21 60 10 36 30 33 -2 32 0 0.36 5.2 4 11.6 21 360 M M 10 1 27 350 ================================================================================ SM 438 313 271 0 2.09 13.0 91.4 M 77
  4. You missed my point. I don't want more snow. But wouldn't surprise me if it does sadly
  5. LOL. GFS at h384 has a 982 SLP bombing Detroit with hvy snow. This is really getting stupid now. All the missing March snow for many years coming all at once. Seriously tho
  6. The mid-level Low gets it's act together a little better over this way for SEMI. @Niko getting a bump into yellow GRR also thinking some areas may exceed the 6" threshold:
  7. Both SMI offices with good AFD's this pm. Solid to high-end WWA most likely scenario. After last week's intensity, this won't seem as good as it actually looks to be via better temps, and overnight timing.
  8. GRR fairly bullish on the two events in the pipeline: AFDGRR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 657 PM EST Tue Mar 7 2023 LATEST UPDATE... Aviation .DISCUSSION...(This evening through next Tuesday) Issued at 216 PM EST Tue Mar 7 2023 - Possible Impacts with the Storm Thu Night to Friday A mid level wave digs into the Great Lakes region during this time generating stronger lift. This lift shown to be in the DGZ and peaks Thursday night into Friday morning.The upper jet has a coupled look to it. This system will tap into some moisture from the Gulf with PWAT values rising to above normal values. Models are in relative agreement on this scenario. The models also show some 700 mb FGEN...but vary considerably with the strength of it. The GFS has the strongest look. Forecast soundings support snow as the precipitation type. Mean ensemble snow forecasts are supporting accumulating snow and an increased risk for impacts especially for the Friday morning commute for much of the CWA. Road temperatures will also the be coldest at this time of the day. However there is still a lot of spread and the system has been trending slightly quicker. Our forecasts will continue to support a widespread snowfall event with an increased risk for impacts. Most scenarios keep the region under warning criteria...but trends going forward will need to be monitored closely. - Another storm system for Sunday night into Monday A mid level low is shown to track in from the west northwest Sunday night into Monday. Models are spread out on the timing and strength of this feature...but they all have a signal there. This will be another cold system...so mainly snow would be expected. The moisture looks deep with this system...through 600 mb where temps are shown to be unusually cold at -30 deg C. Moisture from Lake MI may also enhance this system with 850 mb temperature dipping down colder than -10 deg C. The low level flow is convergent on the backside of this system which would also enhance the low level lift. Impacts appear possible from this system
  9. Stepped out this morning to a completely white landscape and bright sunshine. The combo was splendid. Very surprised at the fresh 1/2 inch and mostly frozen puddles. 2nd morning in a row with some fresh snow/mix. March now solidly above the normal for entire month (132%) and will be the only month w/AN snow here (unless April??? NO!! - stop that!!). And it looks like March wants to keep roaring too. Anyways, the snow coverage value has been a negative number here this winter, but north facing properties are still mostly snow covered in the front and bare in the rear, lol. Plow piles/banks are ridiculously stout with the water content we got last Friday, so we should have those for this week's events. On a side note, my LES total for the winter is way higher this season (15.9% vs just 0.1% last year), and the highest percent in the last 3 seasons by far.
  10. CPC/WPC has indeed trended S here. Pretty sure I've never seen one of their maps like this b4. Like somebody said "why don't you just circle The Mitt? k, yeah, just like that, that's good" lol
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