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BLI snowman

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Everything posted by BLI snowman

  1. That was just a very strong system that more or less created its own cold air and took a perfect track for Seattle. No Fraser River assistance. Can't really think of any examples of that happening since.
  2. Big snow event was the following year on 12/26/1974. Big low came in around Grays Harbor and dropped a lot of wet snow from Olympia to Seattle.
  3. Like a lot of big Ninas it was an extremely wet winter. Pretty non-stop jet stream that winter aside from a two week blocking episode with backdoor action in early January. Some snowy troughing in November and early March as well.
  4. 1889-90, 1973-74, and 1988-89 are probably the three strongest.
  5. Stands to reason this year will be a complete flip of that. December and February will be the main acts of torching, with a blessed week of reprieve in the middle.
  6. Thinking we'll see things stabilize in the 32-33 range for most which should keep icing restricted to the direct outflow areas on the eastside. I'm flat at 32 right now. Kind of a weird purgatory where nothing is melting but nothing is accumulating either.
  7. Most stations are down to 29-30 in Gresham with a ton of precip still on the way. Gonna get pretty nasty.
  8. Would have been widespread -5 to -10F low temps up there if this had happened on the other end of this.
  9. West Hills most likely. He's from the Bahamas and played in Phoenix before this, so not a lot of experience with winter storms!
  10. Definitely. Anything below 32 or maybe 31 at PDX with the surge tomorrow would be a major surprise. Should hopefully keep any ice accumulations light. The precip rates look pretty heavy and the timing would be disastrous with it coinciding with the evening commute, so hopefully we avoid it altogether.
  11. Unfortunate balance. 850s do briefly go below freezing for us today but by then the rest of the column is f*cked and completely saturated, and offshore flow doesn't reassert itself until tomorrow as the upper levels resume warming.
  12. Euro agrees with the rest of the models in showing the strong outflow tomorrow. Just keeps temps a degree or two too warm for ZR. It also shows the gorge fully mixing out tonight with the westerly surge behind the low, so that's probably the kicker in terms of keeping our coolant supply sufficient for tomorrow's precip. But the Euro is likely being too aggressive with that gorge warmup as it has been with ours in the metro area. So it seems like a midday dip below freezing is very possible.
  13. This week is proving to be pretty costly in the area. Please be safe out there as the thaw gets underway. https://www.koin.com/news/portland/3-killed-toddler-injured-after-live-power-line-falls-onto-car-in-northeast-portland/
  14. Up to 31.1 with some drippage increasing. So close. Over 1/2" now on the plants and cars.
  15. Over 1/3" of ice here, but temp starting to inch up. Now at 29 so some relief isn't far off. Probably now our biggest icing since January 2004 here.
  16. What happened to his pro forecaster tag is what I want to know!!
  17. I agree. Just found it reached Sergeant if not Captain levels of Obvious more than anything else. Don't think anyone has ever been projecting other than climo coming back with a vengeance by Sunday. Except that westcoastexpat guy who promised us cold as far as the eye could see.
  18. Light rain still falling here at 26, with the radar getting a little more organized again in the southern valley. Could make a run at 1/2" of ice.
  19. Well the Euro also thinks it hit 40 in Eugene an hour ago. Think the discussion has been more aimed at the next 12-48 hours and less at a day when most of us probably won't even hit F5 as the GFS run comes out.
  20. We'll see if the 45-50 stuff is overdone in the valley and if it remains a more gradual mix out. Not seeing a mechanism for a big jump in the next 12 hours.
  21. Definitely used in other places as well. Pretty consistent part of the winter vernacular until a bit more recently.
  22. Street is a sheet of snowy ice now. Great running conditions.
  23. 26/10 here so far today, we'll see if it holds. Still at 25 with this moderate rain rolling through.
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