BLI snowman

Cross-reference...... http://i.huffpost.com/gen/1396174/images/o-CARROT-TOP-facebook.jpg

Ridging should return in early October. Can't rule out an 85 or even a stray 90 in the general PDX area.

1997 had better oceanic support for a stronger El Nino, the subsurface warmth that year and the temps in the western equatorial Pacific were a lot warmer. I don't see the main ENSO region (3.4) getting as warm this year, even though the anomalies are identical now to September 1997 (+2.3).

I said until April. January-March 1998 were constantly wet in southern WA as was May. We got a break in April that year.

October 1997 was among the wettest on record at least in southern WA. Then it rained on most days until April that year. Then a record wet May. Just an idea of what you have to look forward to in a strong El Nino year!

Not going to be the 1/20 year setup where November is sunny and warm. The last two Novembers were both sunnier than normal throughout the region. A third is a longshot. With a raging Nino, the initial fall surge of westerlies should be unusually wet for us, be it in October, November, or early December.

1999-00 and 1991-92 were both actually warmer than 2011-12, which is in 3rd place.

Southerly flow and warmth in November is usually accompanied by a lot of rain, doofus.

Could be the warmest winter on record nationally. Given the raging Nino I would expect it to make a run at it anyways.

Truly horrific.

2002 and 1986 were both moderate El Ninos. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ensoyears.shtml Experts agree that research is hard though!

2004, 2002, and 1986 all had coolish Septembers. Theory denied.

Two significant wind events at this stage would likely be unprecedented.

I hear my coworkers saying the same thing. They laugh at many of those in the heat camp. Say it`s crazy that there`s people who like sunshine enough to post about it non stop online :lol #Altitudesaffectattitudes

We need ourselves a real leader. Sanders/Guevara 2016

The darker the better. After several years of softcore Yuma, I am ready for some gloom and floods. We are due.

I for one can't wait for the low clouds ad daily rain to begin in earnest.

We also need a pineapple express event in early November. and a stronger than average turnout at the Clark County Fair.

Like most La Ninas, it was definitely better the further north you went. It was reasonably decent in Clark County, pretty frustrating south of there.

UHI has an impact on Potland's numbers, but the uptick is noticeable everywhere and has impacted average highs significantly in the last 30 years. There's been an almost complete lack of Septembers that are cooler than the historic averages. We did have a long stretch of generally very cool Septembers between 1977 and 1986, like everything it seems somewhat cyclical, but August , September, and January do seem to have warmed disproportionately to the rest of the months in the last few decades.

Since 2008, the years that haven't hit 90 on 9/11 (2012, 2014) were both followed by crapstick winters. All the years that have (2008, 2009, 2011, 2013) at least had some fun winter weather at some point. Some major food for thought!! EDIT: I forgot about 2010. Hmm, that winter was sort of a tweener down here.

Fun but useless 9/11 weather fact: PDX has now hit 90+ on September 11 in 5 of the last 7 years, and hit 89 in 2007 on that date. It's become one of the reliably hottest days of the year. What's really wild is that in the 67 years prior to 2008, PDX had only ever hit 90 once before on September 11 (90 in 1975). So since that point, their previous 67 year daily record has been broken 5 times.

Yep. Easily the worst month here in our new climate.

Looks like the last last gasp of summer, until mid January or so.

Shh, Tim hates perspective.