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BLI snowman

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Everything posted by BLI snowman

  1. The thing is, the temps this winter have been Nino like but the lack of tropical convection and subtropical jet activity have been decidedly un-Nino like. So it's a mixed bag. Clearly the SST and pressure configurations in the Pacific have had a big part in our ongoing pattern, more than just the Nino.
  2. Funny thing is that 2002-03 had three as well (the third one was the March 2003 Fraser River event though). We're hard pressed to not get least one, even in our shittiest years.
  3. Yeah, it's a little better. The difference (so far) is that 1939-40 was followed by another extremely warm 18 months.
  4. And at least the Portland area managed to score light frozen precip in 1940. Either way, it's crap.
  5. It likely is. Also hit 72 in Everett. 66 in downtown Seattle that month. That was a massive pineapple express torch following our cold spell.
  6. But PDX at least managed some snow in 1940. Lame versus lame. Take your pick.
  7. It did in fact have one backdoor event http://classic.wunderground.com/history/airport/KPDX/1940/1/24/DailyHistory.html?req_city=NA&req_state=NA&req_statename=NA Pretty lame for the most part, though.
  8. Early February does look like a better inversion pattern. Just in time for inversion season to end.
  9. Yeah, pretty obvious that this won't be a good inversion pattern. Our inversion will be soupy and mixed out. We'll still see a lot of 55-60 temps in the valleys, with high dewpoints and warm nights. Getting a moist warm front going into a ridge pattern is really ideal for optimizing warmth.
  10. Yeah, looks like another massive ridge builds in next weekend. This winter is looking increasingly "top tier" for upper level warmth
  11. Zonal flow with raging +EPO is great for Alaska. December 1933, January 1953, and January 2006 are good examples of that.
  12. Still looking forward to a potential blowtorch on Sunday/Monday. May go on my first spring hike up into the balmy mountains! Iffy on whether we clear out down here, I'd imagine there'll be some murky mixing,
  13. This winter has been pathetic across a large chunk of the country so far. Including Alaska. Just not a lot of action. Looks to stay that way through the end of the month.
  14. Unfortunately it isn't. Really is kind of the expectation nowadays for January.
  15. They're not always worse than the year before. 1987-88 and 1977-78 were better than the preceding winters. 1958-59 was much better than the previous winter. It just depends. A Nino probably wouldn't be great, but it'd be a tall order to see another snowless dud.
  16. March-May 2003 were pretty cloudy and cool, though.
  17. Probably will be the wettest January on record at Juneau. The driest Januaries? 1950 and 1969 of course!
  18. Also try to keep in mind that Januaries 2007, 2008, and 2009 were below the 30 year average at SEA!
  19. This upcoming weekend is looking like an impressive torch. We get a drizzly warm front followed by a major upper level ridge and southerly flow. Pretty ideal torching setup. Could be some 60/50 type days for someone.
  20. November was average, December was mild, and January has been and will be extreme in the upper levels. Seems like that shakes out to be a pretty top tier season. You're not going to see three upper echelon warm months in a row in the upper levels.
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