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Everything posted by BLI snowman
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January 2015 Observations for the Pacific Northwest
BLI snowman replied to Skagit Weather's topic in West of the Rockies
The thing is, the temps this winter have been Nino like but the lack of tropical convection and subtropical jet activity have been decidedly un-Nino like. So it's a mixed bag. Clearly the SST and pressure configurations in the Pacific have had a big part in our ongoing pattern, more than just the Nino.- 3540 replies
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January 2015 Observations for the Pacific Northwest
BLI snowman replied to Skagit Weather's topic in West of the Rockies
Funny thing is that 2002-03 had three as well (the third one was the March 2003 Fraser River event though). We're hard pressed to not get least one, even in our shittiest years.- 3540 replies
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January 2015 Observations for the Pacific Northwest
BLI snowman replied to Skagit Weather's topic in West of the Rockies
Yeah, it's a little better. The difference (so far) is that 1939-40 was followed by another extremely warm 18 months.- 3540 replies
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January 2015 Observations for the Pacific Northwest
BLI snowman replied to Skagit Weather's topic in West of the Rockies
And at least the Portland area managed to score light frozen precip in 1940. Either way, it's crap.- 3540 replies
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January 2015 Observations for the Pacific Northwest
BLI snowman replied to Skagit Weather's topic in West of the Rockies
It likely is. Also hit 72 in Everett. 66 in downtown Seattle that month. That was a massive pineapple express torch following our cold spell.- 3540 replies
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January 2015 Observations for the Pacific Northwest
BLI snowman replied to Skagit Weather's topic in West of the Rockies
Pretty similar airmasses, dude.- 3540 replies
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January 2015 Observations for the Pacific Northwest
BLI snowman replied to Skagit Weather's topic in West of the Rockies
But PDX at least managed some snow in 1940. Lame versus lame. Take your pick.- 3540 replies
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January 2015 Observations for the Pacific Northwest
BLI snowman replied to Skagit Weather's topic in West of the Rockies
Feels like thunderstorm weather!- 3540 replies
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January 2015 Observations for the Pacific Northwest
BLI snowman replied to Skagit Weather's topic in West of the Rockies
It did in fact have one backdoor event http://classic.wunderground.com/history/airport/KPDX/1940/1/24/DailyHistory.html?req_city=NA&req_state=NA&req_statename=NA Pretty lame for the most part, though.- 3540 replies
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January 2015 Observations for the Pacific Northwest
BLI snowman replied to Skagit Weather's topic in West of the Rockies
Early February does look like a better inversion pattern. Just in time for inversion season to end.- 3540 replies
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January 2015 Observations for the Pacific Northwest
BLI snowman replied to Skagit Weather's topic in West of the Rockies
1955! -PDO! Bill Haley & The Comets!- 3540 replies
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January 2015 Observations for the Pacific Northwest
BLI snowman replied to Skagit Weather's topic in West of the Rockies
Yeah, pretty obvious that this won't be a good inversion pattern. Our inversion will be soupy and mixed out. We'll still see a lot of 55-60 temps in the valleys, with high dewpoints and warm nights. Getting a moist warm front going into a ridge pattern is really ideal for optimizing warmth.- 3540 replies
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January 2015 Observations for the Pacific Northwest
BLI snowman replied to Skagit Weather's topic in West of the Rockies
Yeah, looks like another massive ridge builds in next weekend. This winter is looking increasingly "top tier" for upper level warmth- 3540 replies
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January 2015 Observations for the Pacific Northwest
BLI snowman replied to Skagit Weather's topic in West of the Rockies
Zonal flow with raging +EPO is great for Alaska. December 1933, January 1953, and January 2006 are good examples of that.- 3540 replies
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January 2015 Observations for the Pacific Northwest
BLI snowman replied to Skagit Weather's topic in West of the Rockies
Still looking forward to a potential blowtorch on Sunday/Monday. May go on my first spring hike up into the balmy mountains! Iffy on whether we clear out down here, I'd imagine there'll be some murky mixing,- 3540 replies
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January 2015 Observations for the Pacific Northwest
BLI snowman replied to Skagit Weather's topic in West of the Rockies
Or in this year's case, N.- 3540 replies
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January 2015 Observations for the Pacific Northwest
BLI snowman replied to Skagit Weather's topic in West of the Rockies
This winter has been pathetic across a large chunk of the country so far. Including Alaska. Just not a lot of action. Looks to stay that way through the end of the month.- 3540 replies
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January 2015 Observations for the Pacific Northwest
BLI snowman replied to Skagit Weather's topic in West of the Rockies
Unfortunately it isn't. Really is kind of the expectation nowadays for January.- 3540 replies
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January 2015 Observations for the Pacific Northwest
BLI snowman replied to Skagit Weather's topic in West of the Rockies
2.4" of snow in Washington D.C. Remarkable stuff.- 3540 replies
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January 2015 Observations for the Pacific Northwest
BLI snowman replied to Skagit Weather's topic in West of the Rockies
They're not always worse than the year before. 1987-88 and 1977-78 were better than the preceding winters. 1958-59 was much better than the previous winter. It just depends. A Nino probably wouldn't be great, but it'd be a tall order to see another snowless dud.- 3540 replies
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January 2015 Observations for the Pacific Northwest
BLI snowman replied to Skagit Weather's topic in West of the Rockies
March-May 2003 were pretty cloudy and cool, though.- 3540 replies
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January 2015 Observations for the Pacific Northwest
BLI snowman replied to Skagit Weather's topic in West of the Rockies
Probably will be the wettest January on record at Juneau. The driest Januaries? 1950 and 1969 of course!- 3540 replies
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January 2015 Observations for the Pacific Northwest
BLI snowman replied to Skagit Weather's topic in West of the Rockies
Also try to keep in mind that Januaries 2007, 2008, and 2009 were below the 30 year average at SEA!- 3540 replies
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January 2015 Observations for the Pacific Northwest
BLI snowman replied to Skagit Weather's topic in West of the Rockies
This upcoming weekend is looking like an impressive torch. We get a drizzly warm front followed by a major upper level ridge and southerly flow. Pretty ideal torching setup. Could be some 60/50 type days for someone.- 3540 replies
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January 2015 Observations for the Pacific Northwest
BLI snowman replied to Skagit Weather's topic in West of the Rockies
November was average, December was mild, and January has been and will be extreme in the upper levels. Seems like that shakes out to be a pretty top tier season. You're not going to see three upper echelon warm months in a row in the upper levels.- 3540 replies