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BLI snowman

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Everything posted by BLI snowman

  1. This upcoming weekend is looking like an impressive torch. We get a drizzly warm front followed by a major upper level ridge and southerly flow. Pretty ideal torching setup. Could be some 60/50 type days for someone.
  2. November was average, December was mild, and January has been and will be extreme in the upper levels. Seems like that shakes out to be a pretty top tier season. You're not going to see three upper echelon warm months in a row in the upper levels.
  3. No single January has been warmer than this month is on pace to be there. November through now is historically (I'd say top 10% of years there) warm. You can crunch the numbers if you'd like. It is what it is, dude. You just look silly trying to contest this.
  4. Care to offer statistical proof of that? Just because you say it, doesn't make it true. I would venture to guess that through today, it's probably pretty similar to all of those winters temp-wise from an upper level standpoint. And the next two weeks will be ridgy and mild, as evidenced by every forecasting model and signal right now.
  5. http://www.wrcc.dri.edu/cgi-bin/cliMAIN.pl?wa6898 On pace to be the warmest January on record at Paradise. After last year of course. 10 degrees above average through today. How again is that not historic?
  6. Yes, coldest in several weeks and coldest for at least a couple weeks to come. You know, it's OK if you call a spade a spade once in awhile.
  7. I truly can't recall the last winter where subfreezing 850mb temps were so hard to come by. Maybe 2002-03, but I think that one was a little cooler for the mountains.
  8. True, but we just haven't seen a warm East/cold West regime much in recent years. Happened in February 2011 and December 2008... not many other examples. Those tend to work out the best for us.
  9. 2012-13 wasn't a cold winter for most of us. We've been over this.
  10. Brainfart. The upper levels matter a lot in determining how mild a weather pattern is. A few modest inversion days, but the upper levels have been very warm this entire month. It's been a quiet, warm month.
  11. Queue January 2013 defense. It's been a mild, ridgy month. Bland weather for us has been the result. If the upper level patterns were better, the weather at the surface might be better too.
  12. You should go to the Cheesecake Factory if you're at Washington Square.
  13. I'm not the one currently fretting about the 58 degree temps creeping up I-5. I hope you have something fun planned for later!
  14. I picture you posting this in a dark corner of your house, wearing a hoodie over your head and sobbing into a wall while Elliott Smith plays in the background.
  15. Make no mistake, this month has been a torch. Upper levels matter the most, but even in the lowlands it'll end up with a large number of 50+ days and no significant cold.
  16. It just can't handle those 530 thicknesses at 240 hours!
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