Clinton

Not alot of change with the 12z models

I am watching to see if that 2nd piece of energy misses us to the SE. The NWS map is awful, it will be changed drastically this afternoon I bet.

Good read from Lezak this morning https://www.kshb.com/weather/weather-blog-major-snowstorm-targets-kansas-city

6z models are mostly in agreement with the GFS being the furthest south.

Winter Storm Warning issued. ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM CST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 7 inches. * WHERE...Portions of east central and northeast Kansas and central, north central, northwest and west central Missouri. * WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 6 AM CST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

18z Euro has caved to the GFS and Canadian

18z GEFS

18z ICON with some hefty amount between Topeka and KC

Well we know if it's going to snow it will happen on a Thursday. Seems like every snow of any significance has hit on a Thursday this winter.

Watches coming out ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Moderate to Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 8 inches possible. * WHERE...Portions of east central and northeast Kansas and central, north central, northeast, northwest and west central Missouri. * WHEN...From Wednesday evening through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

I hope it goes north I just need a little bit of moisture you guys need the moisture bad and I'm ready for some warmer weather and thunderstorms.

12z GFS, CMC and GEFS

FV3 looks to be in agreement with the NAM

All year it's been like this, no agreement even right up to the event.

6z Euro still rather weak and further north than the GFS

EAX first guess at accumulations

6z models this morning still showing accumulating snow along the I-70 corridor with the heaviest snow around KC.

0z GFS has a I-70 snowstorm targeting KC.

18z Euro Control Mean

Much need moisture that was able to soak in. @NWSKansasCity Kansas City received 0.67" of precipitation yesterday...that was the highest single day total since 11/10/21 when we got 1.25". In fact the 0.67" yesterday exactly matched the total precipitation Kansas City received for the entire month of February.

6z EC Mean

Looks like there is some fun weather going on in KC. Kansas City International Airport @KCIAirport The @KCIAirport (MCI) airfield is closed for all flights until further notice as a result of fast accumulating ice. Flight delays and cancellations are expected. Check http://FlyKCI.com or your airline’s web site for flight status or rebooking.

GFS and HRRR show some heavy snow accumulations near our area.

SPC upgrading to an enhanced risk for south central Iowa

12z EPS and GEFS for late week storm.