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ShawniganLake

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Everything posted by ShawniganLake

  1. ShawniganLake
    Its actually almost laughable that some of the ensembles are showing just that. I big Aleutian ridge pops up, trough into the gulf of Alaska, mild SW flow for the PNW. Aleutian low or Aleutian high, resulting in the same crap pattern for us. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2015011900/gfs-ens_z500a_namer_65.png
  2. ShawniganLake
    I would not disagree with this.
  3. ShawniganLake
    Seems like your attitude towards our climate has made a big adjustment since the -PDO and palm tree killing good times of last winter.
  4. ShawniganLake
    Enjoy! I'm about ready to write this winter off. The lowlands don't really do the icebox thing after about march 10.
  5. ShawniganLake
    Scott Sistek @ScottSKOMO ยท 46m 46 minutes ago Weak tornado in Gig Harbor appears to be confirmed. Radar indicated rotation. Minor damage to loose items. Multiple public reports of a tornado in Gig Harbor, Wash., around 2:25 pm PT, @NWSSeattle says
  6. ShawniganLake
    So will Bostick now enter the witness protection program? I would not want to be in his shoes.
  7. ShawniganLake
    Looks like there was a weak tornado in Gig harbour earlier.
  8. ShawniganLake
    are you fricking kidding me.
  9. ShawniganLake
    I was just thinking that. Each interception has gotta be worth a million or so.
  10. ShawniganLake
    A little early for that dont ya think.
  11. ShawniganLake
    Pretty good storm overnight and into this morning here. Strong winds and heavy rain. Winds have been gusting in the 40-50mph range for several hours and we picked up 2.4" of rain overnight. Currently 18200 customers without power on southern Vancouver Island.
  12. ShawniganLake
    The NAM is the furthest south with the low, bringing it into central Vancouver Island. That would likely mean power outages for southern Vancouver Island. The WRF is closer to North/central Vancouver island, which would bring the strongest winds north of here.
  13. ShawniganLake
    It is slightly more encouraging that it has been showing up on the euro with some consistency, maybe the other models will come around.
  14. ShawniganLake
    What does this mean for the PNW, in your view?
  15. ShawniganLake
    Canadian Ensemble isn't good. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem-ens/2015011712/gem-ens_z500a_namer_41.png
  16. ShawniganLake
    Quite a potent system looking to develop offshore today. In my area, seems like we might expect winds gusting in to 45mph range early tomorrow morning. If the center comes ashore about 100 miles farther south than modelled, it could be stronger. Looks similar to the storm in early November that knocked out power for 2 days here.
  17. ShawniganLake
    Yea could be. The thing is that whenever a cold shot shows up in the models, it seems to end up being the default, ridge slightly too close setup. Obviously things could and will likely change, but it sure would be nice to see something drop down slightly farther west for a change.
  18. ShawniganLake
    The euro is not horrible. Obviously we need the ridge to retrograde a little further but it's closeish to being okay.
  19. ShawniganLake
    Early spring alert?
  20. ShawniganLake
    Doesn't guarantee anything but it's preferable to an Aleutian Low.
  21. ShawniganLake
    Guess not
  22. ShawniganLake
    I think the 0z euro broke the tropicaltidbits website.
  23. ShawniganLake
    http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ECMWF0.5_0z/f240.gif
  24. ShawniganLake
    The 0z euro will quickly draw you back into your optimistic mood.
  25. ShawniganLake
    You probably had to know that someone was going to take a dislike to you're posting something that basically shows the likelihood of a continuing warm west / cold east theme. It was pretty much a foregone conclusion. Personally, I wouldn't be surprised if we got in on some of it as well, but odds are probably not in our favor.
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