Dan the Weatherman

On 1/4/2024 at 7:05 AM, Anti Marine Layer said:

Woah! Number of pages has doubled for all posts. 

I noticed that each individual page is only about half as long as it used to, which is the reason for more pages.

13 hours ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

Lots of leaves have yet to leave our trees.

I am guessing that is a Liquidambar tree, or some type of sycamore. Given the cold weather tonight and the cold weather forecast for much of this week, I'm sure that tree is going to lose almost all of its leaves before long. Of course, the oleanders in the foreground (I THINK they are oleanders) and the split leaf philodendron by the gate are evergreen, so they won't be losing their leaves.

I received 0.36" here in Orange from this week's storm.

The air quality was really good today compared to last week when it was downright hazy and smoggy.

0.32 fell here in Orange from this last storm.

8 hours ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

Not a complete reverse clearing this afternoon 

Well, it is not a marine layer. It is the aftermath of a cold front that passed through.

15 hours ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

ML depth should increase to 8000-10000 ft tonight. Should get rid of the horrible air quality. 

I hope we get rid of this terrible air quality that we have had over the past several days. It has been feeling like I am in Bakersfield or some other nearby area of the San Joaquin Valley that is infamous for this type of air quality.

4 hours ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

The stupidest weather phenomenon on Earth is in full force tonight with another marine layer intrusion that came in after sunset.

Getting a marine layer pattern is a bit odd for this time of year.

6 hours ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

Could rain for the Rose Parade.

It could, but I am willing to bet that it will either rain before or after the parade if it rains at all during that time frame. This coming Saturday has a much better chance at getting some rain.

51 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I will laugh my arse off (kind of mad scientist like) if this January ends up being cold.

If something big happens in January, I hope it brings active weather in terms of rain and snow to the entire West Coast, as it has been on the dry side here in CA for an El Nino year. I am hoping for some decent snow in the Sierra, too, as well as the Cascades!

10 hours ago, Kolk1604 said:

Just noticed that. I'm guessing cause the college football playoffs are this Monday instead. 

I wouldn't be surprised though if we get one in the wild card and divisional round. Wild card at least. 

That is because Monday is New Years' Day with all the usual college bowl games and college playoff games such as the Rose Bowl. If New Years' Day weren't on Monday, we would have had one more regular season Monday Night Football game. The last week of the NFL season doesn't have a MNF game, as everything ends on Sunday. I was going to say that the Wild Card and other playoff games are always on the weekend, both on Saturday and Sunday, but I just remembered that one of the Wild Card games was on a Monday last year, which is a new thing.

11 hours ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

Disqus is very buggy with DuckDuckGo browser.

I use Edge with Disqus and I haven't had much trouble with anything, except when there is an occasional glitch with Disqus. I have never used the DuckDuckGo browser, as I don't even have it installed on my computer.

On 12/24/2023 at 9:26 AM, snow_wizard said:

It's just impossible to muster the interest in weather that we have in the PNW in CA.  From what I can tell the PNW and NE have the most rabid weather fanatics when looking at various forums.

Weather West, a blog dedicated to California weather and climate has quite a following, and the people are from all over the state as well, including the mountain areas like the Sierra. In terms of activity it is the complete opposite of this thread.

45 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

I wonder what next frames would be.

That certainly looks Nino-ish, as well as Day 7 and 8 on the latest Euro Op run.

6 hours ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

Sunny day for the 10th time in a row

DEAD

Deep marine layer moves in

DEAD

Marine layer brings drizzle 

DEAD

Offshore flow develops

DEAD

Santa Ana Winds start a fire near Santa Maria. Smoke blows out 500 miles to sea

DEAD

Hurricane forms out at sea and spreads in some high clouds mixing with smoke for a pretty sunset

DEAD

Marine layer redevelops with dense fog. Beach is 65 degrees. 15 miles inland is 95 degrees

DEAD

NWS update says hurricane could hit California as a weak tropical storm 

DEAD

The hurricane moves closer and smoke moves inland

DEAD

Smoke spreads into Arizona and hurricane becomes Category 5 1000 miles SSW of San Diego 

DEAD

Hurricane hits cooler water and begins to weaken

DEAD

Tropical Storm Warning issued for San Diego

DEAD

Moisture ahead of hurricane forms a supercell thunderstorm over Santa Maria

DEAD

Supercell thunderstorm brings 2.35" of rain in 3 hours to Santa Maria. Tornado passes within a mile of @Thunder98's house

DEAD

1 day later hurricane is Category 2 500 miles SSW of San Diego 

DEAD

Tropical storm warning upgraded to Hurricane warning for San Diego, still a tropical storm warning everywhere else

DEAD

Category 1 hurricane makes landfall in San Diego 

DEAD

Hurricane weakens to tropical storm and brings 48 straight hours of heavy rain to Santa Maria 

DEAD

Santa Maria gets 6.56" more of rain from tropical storm. Major mudslides where the fire was reach Thunder98's backyard 

DEAD

No matter what happens this thread is DEAD DEAD DEAD DEAD DEAD

 

Most CA weather enthusiasts are over on Weather West, including me, which I think is one of the reasons it is so dead on this forum. I post here on occasion, but I do most of my posting on WW. Or else, people don't know that this subforum exists on here, which is a possibility.

14 hours ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

@Reg may have been banned 

 

I doubt that, as he hasn't posted anything I am aware of that is out of line with forum rules. He has been posting on Weather West, though.

12 minutes ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

So far El Nino is identifying as a girl this year. 

I agree with you. This fall is reminding me of the fall of 2020 (a full blown east-based La Nina year) with the incessant Santa Ana wind pattern we have been stuck in for much of the time since the end of October.

It seems that that D**n cutoff low doesn't want to move onshore! It is as if there is no oomph in the jet, unless the models are just not seeing something.

I will say one thing about this fall so far, is that it is really reminding me of the fall of 2020 when we had an endless series of Santa Ana wind events. The main difference is that we haven't had much in the way of fires this season until today, when there were at least two fires that broke out, one in Santa Paula and the other one somewhere in the Chino Hills above Brea. In other words, this has felt like an east based classic La Nina all the way since the beginning of October, only that it has been warmer.

I am hoping the pattern changes showing up in the long range verify and that we get some decent storms soon!

This has been quite a boring fall so far, not only for the intermountain west region, but for much of CA and the SW as well. I'm hoping that changes as we get closer to the Holidays!

12 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I'm depressed anyway.  Doesn't really matter.  I'm much less invested in this winter than many in the past, but still want to see some cold and hopefully snow as well.

I hope you get to experience some of the type of weather you really enjoy during this season, and that we down in CA get beneficial rain and snow at the same time. The weather here in Socal has really been a dud for an El Nino fall since the beginning of October, despite getting susbstantial rain from Tropical Storm Hilary back in August. August has been the highlight of this season so far down here.

6 hours ago, Thunder98 said:

This season is sucking really bad so far

Boy it sure is! I wasn't expecting it to be nearly this dry especially going later into November to December.

3 hours ago, Phil said:

That’s because we haven’t seen the deposition of westerly momentum into the STJ yet. That should change as we go through the month.

And overall +dAAMt to +AAM trend is now present across guidance.

How soon do you think it will change, so CA and the SW starts getting in on the action? 

3 hours ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

Pathetic storm

Yes it was a pathetic storm! It fizzled out before it got down here to Orange and didn't deliver a drop of rain!

8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Don't hate this CFS run. 

Do you mean the one that looks as if the bulk of the continental U.S. is under a mega ridge with only the Gulf Coast and the far PNW getting wet in December?