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Front Ranger

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Everything posted by Front Ranger

  1. Front Ranger
    Conspiracy theory alert: Wilson taking a bullet for the long term future of the team by intentionally driving down his value. That must be it! Of course, two of the interceptions were off his own receivers hands first.
  2. Front Ranger
    Hell. Yeah.
  3. Front Ranger
    Things can change in a hurry. Just like the models!!
  4. Front Ranger
    OLM has had three days with at least 1.2" of rain. Not bad for a quiet month.
  5. Front Ranger
    Yup. Yet they still have a chance.
  6. Front Ranger
    Wilson was just setting himself up for a big deficit to come back from, to cement his legendary status. The game is far from over, and the same goes for this winter!
  7. Front Ranger
    Alice and Chains still sounded like Alice in Chains. So there's that.
  8. Front Ranger
    Wow. Don't ever call yourself a Seahawk fan. Could be a lot worse than 16-0 considering it was by far their worst half of the year against a very good team. One TD and this is a ball game...Hawks start with it second half.
  9. Front Ranger
    That's exactly why people aren't jumping for joy over your 384 hour map.
  10. Front Ranger
    And yet in 2013-14 the Willamette Valley still had one of its snowiest winters in the past 40 years. Doesn't really fit with your Mediterranean/increasingly hopeless for winter weather weenies narrative. Also, 2014 may have been warmest globally on GISS, but look at the year many regions of the U.S. had. Clearly, global temps don't matter a whole lot when you get a good pattern for cold in your region.
  11. Front Ranger
    Cue? Sure, it's been a mild, ridgy month. Just don't understand saying "upper levels matter most". At the end of the day, what's experienced on the ground is what's remembered and measured. That's what determines the averages/anomalies we call climate.
  12. Front Ranger
    You were citing a condensed winter season. Do you have any proof that the growing season in the PNW has grown appreciably longer in recent years? You also said the climate today is "ridiculously removed" from 30 years ago. Seems like an overstatement. As dewey pointed out, the PNW climate might be slightly more Mediterranean than it was 30-40 years ago, but that's not saying much. Obviously, the recent warm stretch in the PNW had a significant impact on you. If you had experienced the past year or so in Chicago, you might feel differently. The global climate is slowly warming, but regional climate differences over the course of 30 years are influenced much more by other factors. As it is, 2013-14 was one of the snowiest winters for the Willamette Valley as a whole in the past 40 years.
  13. Front Ranger
    Good lord. Tell this to the people in the Midwest, who had one of the most brutal winters in the past 50 years last winter. You are extrapolating your regional, recent experience into a global warming effect. Too bad that same logic wouldn't work in many other regions.
  14. Front Ranger
    Yeah...and then there is the matter of what happened in early Nov. You know, one of the coldest events that early for parts of the PNW. You are overreacting.
  15. Front Ranger
    I've never understood this line of thinking. Doesn't what you actually experience on the ground matter more?
  16. Front Ranger
    Unfortunately, the ensembles and GFS are not nearly as good.
  17. Front Ranger
    February will be better.
  18. Front Ranger
    Most of the time, it correlates to west coast troughing this time of year. Most Arctic outbreaks with snow involve Aleutian ridging.
  19. Front Ranger
    12z ensembles are not nearly as promising as the operational Euro the past couple runs...ridging is too far east. But, things definitely look better than a couple days ago. In the long range, the GFS ensembles continue to have a strong signal for Aleutian ridging.
  20. Front Ranger
    More specifically, there was a lot less data for the Pacific in general prior to WWII. For obvious reasons, that changed.
  21. Front Ranger
    Nah, was just saying it wouldn't surprise me one bit. Not everything has to be a prediction, you know
  22. Front Ranger
    Really nice to see the mountains finally getting a good dump, with more on the way soon. And the 0z Euro, though an outlier at this point, goes to show that there's no reason to put this winter to bed quite yet.
  23. Front Ranger
    If it drops to +1 in Feb, that will be a crash from where it's at now.
  24. Front Ranger
    Because the PDO measurements prior to 1950 are less reliable.
  25. Front Ranger
    It is pretty crazy. That's actually what gives me some hope for February...the pattern has been so unusual and the anomalies so unprecedented for this sort of event, it wouldn't surprise me to see something unexpected happen in late winter. That could include a big shift and possibly a PDO crash.
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