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Front Ranger

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Everything posted by Front Ranger

  1. Front Ranger
    From what I remember from talking to my dad, the only storm where the snow didn't all melt later in the day at their place was the big late March one. Regardless, certainly one of the snowiest Marches in modern records for the Willamette Valley.
  2. Front Ranger
    Video of that weak tornado/waterspout in Gig Harbor on Sunday.
  3. Front Ranger
    Agreed. Nantes, France probably has the closest climate to Seattle or Portland of any major city outside of the PNW. But even then, they don't get quite as much rainfall in the wet season, and their dry season isn't as dry.
  4. Front Ranger
    How could I have done that, when the period I supposedly busted on had barely begun?
  5. Front Ranger
    Exactly. I'm not sure what's so hard to understand: get a great pattern, and maybe the same pattern would have produced a 26/12 day at PDX in 1960. Now it produces a 27/13 day (or maybe 27/15, considering UHI expansion and all). Global warming!
  6. Front Ranger
    He didn't say November events. Dec 2008 was Nov 1985 caliber.
  7. Front Ranger
    Feel free to post the map showing this when the 20th is in the books. It obviously means a lot to you.
  8. Front Ranger
    You responded calling it "my schtick" before I ever asked you anything. Hey, if you want this place to be an echo chamber, where everyone just repeats the same ideas and feeds off each other's anxiety, have fun with that. The recent warm anomalies and a crappy winter so far have gotten in some people's heads, and sometimes a differing perspective can be healthy for discussion. It's just weather, after all.
  9. Front Ranger
    We'll have to see how January shakes out...but here was Nov/Dec. And here are some other winters that were easily warmer at the 850 level in Nov/Dec. I didn't choose the color coding intervals.
  10. Front Ranger
    Odd that you feel the need to respond to it then.
  11. Front Ranger
    Care to address the facts? Has this winter been top warm at the upper levels?
  12. Front Ranger
    I'm not the one who keeps on talking about the climate changing, Mediterranean-style, over and over. What exactly do you think my agenda is, anyway?
  13. Front Ranger
    Yeah, that's exactly what I'm saying. People are throwing around unsubstantiated claims.
  14. Front Ranger
    The statement was made that it's been a top-warm winter in the upper levels so far. January has been very warm, Nov/Dec not so much. At Paradise, 2004, 2002, 1989, 1976, and several other years were much warmer than Nov/Dec 2014.
  15. Front Ranger
    I thought it was ironic that he chose to say that now, as 850 temps are below 0.
  16. Front Ranger
    Too soon to say they are the coldest in several weeks to come. I'm calling a spade a spade - there's a bit too much hyperbole going around right now. Has it been a dry/warmish/mostly uneventful winter so far? Yes. Has it been a top warm winter for the upper levels/mountains? No, it's not in the same league as the winters I mentioned above.
  17. Front Ranger
    You sure about that? If we're counting November, and that's definitely a winter month in the mountains, 2004-05, 1991-92, 1980-81, and 1957-58 will be tough to beat. Government Camp was actually right around average for Nov/Dec.
  18. Front Ranger
    I'm cherry picking current conditions? Ok.
  19. Front Ranger
    Of course, they are sub-freezing right now. And were also with the big dump the mountains got last week.
  20. Front Ranger
    More sub-tropical. Portland = the new Miami?
  21. Front Ranger
    Because those maps only go back 7 days. It wouldn't change much...the 11th was not a very cold day either for much of the U.S. All I ever said, on Jan 3, was that the LR ensembles were pointing to a +EPO/+AO/+NAO pattern for mid month, which would most likely not be a cold pattern for the vast majority of the U.S. The EPO ended up not being as positive as indicated by the ensembles, but it still ended up being a mild to near normal period for just about everyone. Not cold...and downright ugly for a lot of the country. For some reason, Phil keeps bringing this up, insisting I was wrong. Near 50 currently in DC, lower 40s in Chicago. Mid 50s here.
  22. Front Ranger
    You're showing the 11-17th...not through the 20th. And, no one ever said it would be warm, just that it didn't look like a cold pattern. See what happens when you include yesterday...and today is also warmer across much of the U.S. The mid month pattern has been more mild than cold for the most part.
  23. Front Ranger
    And the December average?
  24. Front Ranger
    Guess it depends on what your definition of "outlandish" is.
  25. Front Ranger
    It sounds pretty major. Anyhow...like I said, it seems like you've been focusing on the recent warm anomalies (which are 95% due to persistent patterns) as a reason why the PNW is becoming "more Mediterranean", and then concluding that good winter events are going to become less and less common - yet, the Willamette Valley just had an impressively snowy winter, one of the snowiest in the past 40 years. Arctic outbreaks have been quite common in recent years. There is nothing to indicate that good patterns still won't deliver good results, by and large. Just seemed like one of those things where you have a shift in thinking, but the shift might have gone too far.
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