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That drive down 40 to AZ is one of the most boring ever to me. Lol. I like my hills and trees too much. Should be. If the PNA and/or AO deliver the cold down here this year it's going to be lights out all winter. Hopefully not literally. Lol.

I am really excited about a change to cooler weather. We were teased here with much cooler weather over last weekend with some rain and temps in the 40's for highs. I can't not believe how few trees have changed color. Some are still very green. I don't ever remember the amount of green on the trees this time of year. I mentioned it to my father who is 75 years of age and has lived in Central Nebraska his entire life. He remembers a few falls in the 50's and 60's but he thinks it is very odd. I was just thinking that 2 years ago all of the leaves on the 3 trees in my yard had fallen by the 24th of Oct. Today only 1 of them has any color change and 2 are completely green.

Somebody put me to sleep and wake me up in December! Tired of it warming back up already.

The IO/E Hem interference has not been nearly as prevalent with the current NINO (relatively speaking), which is likely related to the -AMO being able to isolate the anomalous NINO circulation in the Pacific as opposed to most post 1991-92 NINOs bleeding into the western hemisphere/Africa. I seriously doubt it's just mere coincidence that this abrupt change in NINO upper level configuration coincided with the AMO flip ~1995... It's been a while since we've seen a classic look like this. http://weatheradvance.com/home/weather/weatheradvance.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/compday.C6aQJbka5x.gif BTW, Kaplan's Extended SSTv2 dataset just updated several hours ago. As expected, (since it's just a lower resolution version of OISSTv2 after 1981), the latest ONI value is precisely in line with OISSTv2, now up to +1.90 C, and JAS was ranked 2nd overall since 1870 behind 1877-78. If the current rate of intensification that we've observed over the past few months holds thru October, we're going to set a new record in this dataset. To be frank, the more datasets I compile together, the more I find it sad how many in the field nor the public don't realize that NOAA's ERSST products are grossly underestimating the intensity of this El Nino. There's a massive difference between an ONI value under +1.5C & +1.90C, the former is no doubt impressive, but the latter is historic & practically unprecedented in the last few centuries... http://weatheradvance.com/home/weather/weatheradvance.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/Kaplan-Extended-SSTv2-1990-JAS-2015-889x1024.png