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Everything posted by OKwx2k4

  1. I'm beyond excited. Those 50s for however long will feel amazing. It'll be like being woke up and refreshed.
  2. I'm ready for fall. Lets get some! This summer is too darn long! Glad to see the cold front!
  3. I don't forsee this being a "build gently into winter" type year. I think its going to be a crash and blitz to the end. That's my opinion. I think we should enjoy the peace of September so far. I think this one will put the "fall" back in Autumn.
  4. The weather is too pretty today. Lol. I've missed you all. Happy fall!
  5. Im going to apologize openly here for missing the last part of my summer prediction for you down there. Been hotter about 2wks longer than I anticipated for both of us.
  6. I'm back, ladies and gentlemen. The tired leaves slowly falling off the trees that were burned off in April. What a summer. I'm really sad it's over for personal reasons, but I never love the season. Lol. I hope all are well. I needed a break from some stuff anyway.
  7. A month early ish...? Thats pretty early to me too. Seeing this cool rainy pattern pop back up down here this month is a rare thing too.
  8. Peak of summer weather here this week and is hot, but I can live with it. It's been a nice summer. I'm looking forward to Autumn. You folks up north are getting baked right now. Hope late month is the cooldown time.
  9. Nailed it, Tom. Right on time, as usual. I'm about ready to get locked in and brace myself for this one. Going to be the longest winter of my life. I believe that.
  10. I'd keep an eye on models for some radical changes after day 7-8 or thereabouts. Basically watch for massive changes. I think the last half of August is going to be crazy. I think fast fall is coming. Early.
  11. Most sudden flip in enso I have ever witnessed. Going to be the fastest and hardest fall into winter we have ever had in our lifetime. I think I'm 100 percent on that.
  12. I haven't been around much and I'm sorry. I do apologize for my absence. summer isnt really my thing as most folks know. I'm looking forward to seeing things in the cold weather discos start.
  13. Yeah, we definitely don't want that, but if I were a hospital, brushing my staff up hypothermia treatment would be a good thing about now.
  14. Here's the pic. Should have went with my post above. Look at that Blob shine!
  15. The PAC temp profile sitting as it is, is the textbook for how to load a massive shift down the road. All the players on that side locked in, now it's the Atlantic's turn. Stage and setup the blocking over the NE and presto. Should also see the gulf sst profile spike in the coming weeks. This is truly one of the most beautiful hemispheric climate patterns I've seen in my life in terms of loving autumn and winter. Too much good here. Hard to hold my composure but I'd get ready for winter. Summers over for the eastern and Southern parts of the sub and will be for the northern part in 3 weeks.
  16. I've spoken of a 12-18 month cooling cycle associated with high volcanism that could start in the SO hem. There's a volcanic gas cycle study somewhere from all of the eruptions back in the early 1990s and the weather. Wildfire smoke from N.A. and Russia has taken the same 12-18 month path across the equator to the south pole. This just so happens to coincide with a few other cycles. It's why I've missed it so many times. I was very very early.
  17. Yeah. Going to get bumpy around here after awhile.
  18. I'm sitting here this morning watching the sunrise and I notice that this is the first morning I no longer smell the flowers blooming or the sweetness in the air of what has been probably the longest spring of my lifetime. I think if there's any resemblance of a true summer in my future, now til the end of the month will be about the best strike at it we are going to see down here. It runs outside of July's time frame, but the next 3-5 weeks are going to be weird. Should see the stages set up as the month closes for another heatwave over the NW. Lots to watch.
  19. For OK and TX, it looks like after the brief returning heat spike, we don't have a summer after. I'm fine with that! Maybe a hurricane could make it through TX, but the real threats are up amd down the EC August thru September and maybe one right up the central gulf before the troughiness of the cycle rolls back thru. With a little bit of next year's pattern starting off with them. Glad to see the rain right in the nick of time for most of the northern and eastern parts of our sub and should give plants, crops, hay enough of a kick to finish the season out barring an early frost by August's end for the north. Most of the thoughts I had back in April about this season have ran out pretty well like I pictured it.
  20. Crazy to think you all are going to have a hotter summer in actual temperatures than I will. Crazy stuff. This will be a very hot week for a lot of folks, as advertised right now.
  21. I'm still looking for it too, but all signs point to it being a transient heat blast at best now before re anchoring in the west. It'll be hot but a non-event to the cool we'll see after it. That's the better way to say it. That ridge/pattern has had eyes on the SW since the first one in March warmed us back out of winter. With no NiƱo to knock it around, it's a semi-stable block.
  22. That's the harbinger for future seasons I've been talking about. It's 2 weeks early (in my mind) which makes any lasting heat over the central conus impossible going forward. I had us at least getting summer thru the 4th but this is fast.
  23. Question here would be also if we are just simply seeing how much better things are built than 70 years ago. I don't honestly think the eras can be measured against one another.
  24. I think they actually need to have solid science to go with this stuff instead of "ooh look! Be afraid!" We can all poke at the what and change the rules, but I think they need to wait before creating more confusion and chaos in things than they already are. Not all changes are good or justified. Some stuff was just right and needed left alone. They could probably do part of the 1980s that way. Then we had the 1989-1995 years where convection roared.
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