Meatyorologist

More south than the previous run!

Better the Ford than your son! Glad there were no injuries.

Absolutely. Beautiful weather everywhere today, and warm to top it off. We'll get the goods later, so best to enjoy the sun and warmth now.

Already 60F here. Much toastier than anticipated, which is funny considering my low of 30F.

Dead calm here, just like usual during east wind events. 32F.

Can't wait to see what that looks like by the end of the month

#33!

1050mb Arctic high into BC. Very solid.

That's a pretty prolific airmass creeping by to the north. Blast to the past kind of stuff.

And to the east it will slide...

You know what other month didn't have a pin? January 1950...

Wondering if this goes places near the end of the run. Cold lobe developing over NW Canada, heights building into Alaska, but to what extent will it be forced south? Intuition says it will slide east.

That's a fairly significant step in the right direction from the 12z.

Loving that cold air reinforcement into BC. La Niña-esque, and then some. I'm sure better blocking will show up to force that south.

That's hilarious! I wonder how rare this simultaneous combination of warnings is? Maybe not so much around Portland due to the complicated relationship between its frequent east winds and highly variable topography...?

Obligatory "with a slightly better block, that's a major outbreak", but it's indeed true. Won't be our last chance this winter, either. Not by a long shot. It's gonna be good, we've known this for a few months now. Patience!

Those are some pretty insane members at the end. I wonder how weak the zonal winds have ever been?

No major cold, but with that blocking setup, a trough would certainly drop. Snow potential very real after the 10th.

I've come to the conclusion that if you are able to move above 800', the highlands are the best bet, and below that you might want to compensate for your loss in elevation by moving to the north in the PSCZ. Thanks y'all.

I checked the archived NOWDATA for that and you weren't kidding... Multiple days in the low-mid 20s with snow off and on for five straight days, then a fairly huge AR overrunning event dumping nearly a foot of wet slop, followed by multiple days in the 60s with consistent daily precip totals above .5" for a straight week. The month finished off with the state of Hawaii practically breathing on us, topping out in the upper 60s on the sunny southern end of another AR branch.

Just want some opinions here... Out of these two choices, where would be the best place for snow: 600' in the typical PSCZ region (roughly Lynwood/South Everett east to Monroe), or 800'+ in the highlands stretching from Bellevue to North Bend? The highlands often miss out on the PSCZ, but when they do get snow it's usually much more than the rest of the lowlands, barring arctic fronts that stall out near Everett. Asking for...a friend...

Nice!

I was playing with reanalysis from the last century, and decided to revisit February 1989. It's crazy to see just how anomalous that event really was..... A 1972mb Frankensteinian PV lobe directly from Russia locked into western Canada with true arctic air funneling into the Region. The result? The Siberian Express of the century with Seattle notching its first sub-20 high temperature since the infamous January of 1950, this time without the aid of a two foot snowpack, then barely kissing the vingt mark the very next day. To top it off, five inches of powdered sugar to coat the region in a glistening, enchanting white. The stuff of dreams for model weenies and aspiring mets like those on our forum... It gets me so worked up that I may never see something like this in and around the Seattle area in my lifetime. Our warming climate is making these kinds of events nearly impossible nowadays, growing ever more unlikely each year, no matter how few sunspots manifest, or how many cubic meters of ash from Indonesia are injected into the stratosphere... Though I do sometimes hold out hope that we may squeeze out another event like this, or two, god forbid, before our climate drifts off into obscurity and unrecognition when I am an older man. After all, anomalous events are bound to happen.

Stubby 'ol block. Get those reds higher than Alaska and the cold air will flood southward at a better angle, possibly forming a BC Slider. But, at the very least, there is finally something pretty to look at in the long range again. And as long as there is that, there is hope.

Wow... That is pretty.