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Meatyorologist

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Everything posted by Meatyorologist

  1. Meatyorologist
    Always 240+ hours out
  2. Meatyorologist
    Wow, Oliver, you've just discovered something crazy: if you go into a community and start calling its members mentally impaired, you'll be asked to leave. Astonishing, I know.
  3. Meatyorologist
    Just coming in to report 2" of snow in NE Seattle. Peaceful evening.
  4. Meatyorologist
    Navy Seal copypasta. Classic.
  5. Meatyorologist
    Just tell me when the goddamn QPF will hit my house Fred, you sarcastic s**t. (Massive /s here because the forum has been touchy lately)
  6. Meatyorologist
    GFS weakens the midweek system quite a lot right before landfall. Oddly enough, this works in the favor of Puget Sound folks due to the decreased east winds and henceforth decreased drying effect from them. A weaker storm also means a much less pronounced to nearly nonexistent warm nose, meaning the cold air stays around for longer. Unfortunately, the airmass in BC and eastern Washington moderates swiftly after that, so any overrunning event after the fact would be swift and short-lived.
  7. Meatyorologist
    GFS is way too overzealous with the arctic front, I'd slash those totals in half. Still a fun-as-hell morning for the Puget Sound. More importantly (especially for Portland), it's improved the cold pool within the mountains and eastern Washington.
  8. Meatyorologist
    Today I learned I have some kind of mental condition that prevented me from noticing the 32km resolution for two goddamn years
  9. Meatyorologist
    Yo where do you get that map from? The NAM from what I'm seeing doesn't have a wide view like that...
  10. Meatyorologist
    Either the the pressure gradients are too strong, or the Euro is too warm. I can't say which for certain. Experience tells me that the Arctic Front will be delayed a few hours, but most models end up getting the gradients set up right. However, with oceanic influence we may at least be closer to 32F than on the GFS.
  11. Meatyorologist
    Just caught up on all of today's forum posts, and man, I've never seen it this sad here before. I can't say anything for Portland since I live up here in Seattle, except that next Wednesday has the potential to be something quite great for that area. Looking at precip and snowfall maps in almost any situation is a poor illustration of what the atmosphere is doing and what the setup actually is. Regardless, Portland may be shafted again. For the second year in a row. I hope not!
  12. Meatyorologist
    TOOT TOOT
  13. Meatyorologist
    We'll have to wait until the mesoscale models. Even the Euro, which is by no means our best Hi-Res model, shows the CZ with several inches locally.
  14. Meatyorologist
    Our big midweek low is stronger by about 7-9mb and a bit closer
  15. Meatyorologist
    BC is a notch colder on this run and there is a classic low-res PSCZ signature behind the transitional low. Arctic front delayed by a couple hours or so, but again the core of cold air in BC is colder.
  16. Meatyorologist
    It initialized the arctic high a little stronger. Probably inconsequential but a man can hope
  17. Meatyorologist
    18z GFS running soon
  18. Meatyorologist
    Hi-Res Euro has the arctic front within range now. It's a slow-mover. (For fun now before details settle in)
  19. Meatyorologist
    18z NAM rolling out
  20. Meatyorologist
    There is no reason not to be at least a little excited (or at least intrigued) for this upcoming week, no matter where you live. No matter what happens, this is leagues better than the two month long split flow hell we've endured.
  21. Meatyorologist
    12z GFS so far improved...
  22. Meatyorologist
    I remember that, the forum was a disaster. It nearly slid the moisture+arctic air east of our area entirely. That was an exceptional adjustment by the models caused by some interference within the blocking pattern that was quickly resolved within a few runs or so. Just goes to show what kind of changes can happen and regress in this stage of the game.
  23. Meatyorologist
    To be fair, the long range agrees on a warming trend, within but the short-medium range the OP is either above the mean or roughly on par with it.
  24. Meatyorologist
    Hence the "FWIW"
  25. Meatyorologist
    FWIW, nam is closer with the arctic front. Not sure why it is so bullish, but it's fun to look at.
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